Gage Larvadain
WR- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 27.0
- Recent snaps
- 24%
23 yrs · 5′8″, 171 lb · South Carolina; Miami (Ohio)
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.0 | 0.0 – 15.2 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 6.6 | 0.0 – 17.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.0 – 1.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 15.4 | 2.7 – 33.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 8.3 | 0.0 – 21.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 3.1% | no range | +3173 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.2% | no range | +8030 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0% | 0.00 | – | 8% | 0.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 5.2 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.07 | 1.00 | 24% | 1.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 4.9 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.08 | 1.00 | 26% | 1.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 71 | 0 | 3% | 1 | 1 | 24% | 14 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 13 | 100% | 0.8 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 13 | 92% | 9.9 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 13 | 100% | 10.0 | -0.1 |
| Anytime TD | 13 | 7% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 13 | 1% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 4 | 100% | 3.1 | +0.2 |
| Longest rush | 1 | 100% | 3.1 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  CIN | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PIT | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BUF | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CHI | 54% | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 42% | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 29% | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LV | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BAL | 7% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  NYJ | 25% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  NE | 52% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |