Josh Williams
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 17.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 4%
26 yrs · 5′8″, 210 lb · LSU
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 6.2 | 0.0 – 17.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush attempts | 1.6 | 0.0 – 6.2 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest rush | 7.5 | 1.1 – 16.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 3.3 | 0.0 – 5.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.0 – 1.0 | – | Little to go on |
| Longest reception | 10.6 | 1.7 – 22.2 | – | Little to go on |
| Rush + rec yards | 9.5 | 0.0 – 25.4 | – | Little to go on |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 3.5% | no range | +2772 | Little to go on |
| First TD scorer | 1.1% | no range | +8883 | Little to go on |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 4% | 0.4 |
| Last 5 | 3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 4% | 0.4 |
| Last 10 | 3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 4% | 0.4 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | – | 0% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0% | 0 |
| 2025 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 7% | 1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 2 | 50% | 12.1 | -1.1 |
| Receptions | 2 | 100% | 0.9 | -0.9 |
| Receiving yards | 2 | 100% | 6.8 | -6.8 |
| Rush attempts | 2 | 50% | 3.6 | +0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 2 | 100% | 13.8 | -2.8 |
| Anytime TD | 2 | 8% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 1 | 1% vs 0% | 0.0 | – |
| Longest rush | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
