Beaux Collins
WR
23 yrs · 6′3″, 206 lb · Notre Dame; Clemson
Projections
Beaux Collins is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 8.3 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.16 | 1.00 | 23% | 1.5 |
| Last 5 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6.3 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.12 | 1.00 | 17% | 1.1 |
| Last 10 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6.3 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.12 | 1.00 | 17% | 1.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 5% | 0 | 1 | 17% | 5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often neck
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 4 | 75% | 0.7 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 4 | 100% | 7.1 | +1.6 |
| Rush + rec yards | 4 | 100% | 7.6 | +1.1 |
| Anytime TD | 4 | 6% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 3 | 1% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 2 | 100% | 3.1 | +7.9 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
