Dont'e Thornton Jr.
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 21.5
- Depth
- #7
- Recent snaps
- 44%
23 yrs · 6′5″, 205 lb · Tennessee; Oregon · 2025 rd 4 pk 108
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.5 | 0.0 – 14.3 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 17.3 | 0.0 – 47.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 0.0 – 2.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 19.7 | 4.6 – 35.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 15.1 | 0.0 – 45.1 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 5.5% | no range | +1704 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.5% | no range | +6678 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.33 | 1.00 | 40% | 1.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 8.2 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.23 | 1.00 | 44% | 1.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 9.0 | 0.00 | 10% | 0.32 | 1.00 | 55% | 1.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 30 | 10 | 135 | 0 | 10% | 4 | 2 | 56% | 24 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 11 | 100% | 1.1 | -0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 11 | 100% | 16.6 | -2.9 |
| Rush + rec yards | 11 | 100% | 16.9 | -3.2 |
| Anytime TD | 11 | 12% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 11 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 7 | 86% | 10.1 | -2.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 18 |  KC | 13% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NYG | 78% | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  LAC | 29% | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  CLE | 38% | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  DEN | 62% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 | KC | 86% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  IND | 47% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  CHI | 60% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  WAS | 59% | 4 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 2 | LAC | 81% | 4 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |