Tory Horton
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 24.8
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 46%
23 yrs · 6′2″, 196 lb · Colorado State; Nevada · 2025 rd 5 pk 166
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.1 | 0.0 – 14.7 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 21.8 | 0.0 – 57.9 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 0.0 – 3.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 20.4 | 4.7 – 38.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 20.9 | 0.0 – 58.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 14.2% | no range | +605 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.6% | no range | +3707 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 32.0 | 0.67 | 11% | 0.30 | 1.00 | 45% | 9.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 0.60 | 10% | 0.26 | 1.00 | 46% | 8.3 |
| Last 10 | 9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 23.2 | 0.56 | 10% | 0.27 | 1.00 | 45% | 8.1 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 48.0 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.21 | – | 22% | 7.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 7% | 0 | – | 22% | 8 |
| 2025 | 8 | 22 | 13 | 161 | 5 | 11% | 2 | 4 | 48% | 65 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 2 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often groin
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 8 | 88% | 1.5 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 8 | 100% | 19.4 | +3.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 8 | 100% | 19.9 | +2.5 |
| Anytime TD | 8 | 14% vs 50% | 0.5 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 8 | 3% vs 25% | 0.3 | +0.2 |
| Longest reception | 5 | 100% | 5.7 | +1.9 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
