Harold Fannin Jr.
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 18.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 73%
22 yrs · 6′4″, 241 lb · Bowling Green · 2025 rd 3 pk 67
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 42.5 | 12.8 – 80.5 | 41.5 | -109 / -115DK | 45% | +2.8%under | Solid |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 1.0 – 6.4 | 4.5 | -112 / -114DK | 40% | +13.4%under | Solid |
| Longest reception | 22.5 | 7.2 – 37.3 | 16.5 | -109 / -118DK | 54% | +2.6%over | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 41.3 | 9.0 – 90.4 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 20.1% | no range | yes | +290 / –FD | – | no bet | Differs from form |
| First TD scorer | 5.8% | no range | yes | +1300 / –FD | – | no bet | Differs from form |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 42.0 | 0.67 | 21% | 0.48 | 2.00 | 85% | 12.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 38.0 | 0.80 | 19% | 0.46 | 1.50 | 73% | 13.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 46.1 | 0.60 | 24% | 0.52 | 1.40 | 80% | 13.1 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 42.0 | 0.67 | 21% | 0.48 | 2.00 | 85% | 12.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 126 | 2 | 21% | 1 | 2 | 85% | 39 |
| 2025 | 16 | 107 | 72 | 731 | 6 | 22% | 7 | 11 | 76% | 186 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often groin
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 16 | 75% | 1.9 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 16 | 81% | 19.6 | +2.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 16 | 81% | 19.6 | +2.1 |
| Anytime TD | 16 | 19% vs 38% | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 16 | 81% | 7.2 | +0.9 |
| First TD scorer | 16 | 5% vs 25% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CAR | 86% | 9 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  TB | 86% | 6 | 5 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  JAX | 82% | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PIT | 23% | 2 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BUF | 86% | 6 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CHI | 96% | 14 | 7 | 48 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 90% | 11 | 8 | 114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 92% | 5 | 3 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LV | 90% | 6 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BAL | 73% | 5 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |