Jaxson Dart
QB
23 yrs · 6′2″, 223 lb · Mississippi; USC · 2025 rd 1 pk 25
Projections
Jaxson Dart is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 22.0 | 16.0 | 160.0 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 5.3 | 28.7 | 2.00 | 15.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 21.8 | 15.4 | 144.0 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 5.4 | 28.2 | 2.60 | 14.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 25.5 | 17.1 | 173.1 | 1.10 | 0.20 | 6.0 | 36.3 | 2.50 | 18.2 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 125.0 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 5.5 | 27.0 | 1.00 | 13.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Att | Cmp | Pass yd | Pass TD | INT | Car | Rush yd | Sacked | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 34 | 26 | 250 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 54 | 2 | 27 |
| 2025 | 14 | 339 | 216 | 2,272 | 15 | 5 | 86 | 487 | 35 | 242 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing yards | 14 | 79% | 65.5 | +13.3 |
| Passing TDs | 14 | 93% | 0.8 | +0.1 |
| Completions | 14 | 79% | 5.3 | +0.7 |
| Rushing yards | 14 | 64% | 22.5 | +1.8 |
| Pass attempts | 14 | 79% | 7.8 | +1.7 |
| Interceptions | 14 | 93% | 0.6 | -0.0 |
| Pass + rush yards | 14 | 71% | 84.0 | +10.4 |
| Rush attempts | 14 | 86% | 2.6 | +0.5 |
| Anytime TD | 14 | 27% vs 50% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 14 | 6% vs 14% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest rush | 14 | 71% | 7.1 | +0.9 |
| Longest completion | 12 | 92% | 7.5 | +1.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  LA | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DAL | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 54 | 230 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 18 | DAL | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 230 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  LV | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 207 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  MIN | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  WAS | 97% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 63 | 246 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  NE | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 139 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  CHI | 71% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 66 | 242 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  SF | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 56 | 191 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  PHI | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 193 | 2 |