Isaiah Bond
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 18.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 40%
22 yrs · 5′11″, 180 lb · Texas; Alabama
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | |||||||
| Longest rush | 7.1 | 0.0 – 16.0 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 11.6 | 0.0 – 34.8 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 0.0 – 2.6 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 16.7 | 3.9 – 35.3 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 15.6 | 0.0 – 38.4 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 6.2% | no range | yes | +2000 / –DK | – | +29.9%doubt | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.7% | no range | yes | +7000 / –DK | – | +21.6%doubt | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.18 | – | 28% | 2.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 29.8 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.20 | – | 40% | 4.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 22.5 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.26 | – | 40% | 3.3 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.10 | – | 7% | 2.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 7% | 2 |
| 2025 | 15 | 44 | 18 | 338 | 0 | 9% | 4 | 4 | 48% | 55 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often foot
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 15 | 100% | 0.8 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 15 | 87% | 17.9 | +4.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 15 | 87% | 17.6 | +4.5 |
| Anytime TD | 15 | 10% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 15 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 11 | 73% | 12.3 | +2.0 |
| Longest rush | 5 | 80% | 3.2 | +0.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  TB | 7% | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CIN | 54% | 2 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  PIT | 23% | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BUF | 48% | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CHI | 68% | 4 | 2 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 48% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 29% | 2 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LV | 29% | 2 | 2 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BAL | 42% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  NE | 54% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |