Quinshon Judkins
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 18.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 58%
22 yrs · 6′0″, 221 lb · Ohio State; Mississippi · 2025 rd 2 pk 36
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | |||||||
| Rushing yards | 53.9 | 13.9 – 104.1 | 56.5 | -109 / -115DK | 46% | +1.3%under | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 12.7 | 1.0 – 21.2 | 16.5 | -106 / -120DK | 35% | +18.7%under | Solid |
| Longest rush | 16.0 | 5.5 – 26.7 | 12.5 | -118 / -109DK | 48% | +0.4%under | Solid |
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 16.4 | 0.0 – 40.0 | 11.5 | -107 / -118DK | 49% | no bet | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 0.0 – 4.9 | 1.5 | -190 / +148DK | 53% | +15.8%under | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.4 | 1.6 – 25.6 | 8.5 | +100 / -130DK | 55% | +10.9%over | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 70.3 | 17.7 – 109.8 | 71.5 | -111 / -115DK | 40% | +12.7%under | Solid |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 25.3% | no range | yes | +150 / –FD | – | no bet | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.8% | no range | yes | +650 / –FD | – | no bet | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 14.0 | 41.3 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 17.7 | 2.33 | 61% | 8.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 12.4 | 33.4 | 0.00 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 15.6 | 2.50 | 58% | 8.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.4 | 46.5 | 0.20 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 16.4 | 2.33 | 56% | 10.0 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 14.0 | 41.3 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 17.7 | 2.33 | 61% | 8.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 42 | 124 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 53 | 7 | 61% | 27 |
| 2025 | 14 | 230 | 827 | 7 | 36 | 26 | 171 | 34 | 51% | 170 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often not injury related - personal matter
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 14 | 79% | 32.0 | -5.6 |
| Receptions | 14 | 79% | 1.6 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 14 | 71% | 13.9 | +0.9 |
| Rush attempts | 14 | 86% | 4.8 | +1.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 14 | 64% | 35.6 | -4.2 |
| Anytime TD | 14 | 37% vs 29% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 14 | 10% vs 21% | 0.3 | +0.1 |
| Longest rush | 14 | 43% | 12.1 | -1.3 |
| Longest reception | 10 | 60% | 9.9 | +4.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CAR | 51% | 2 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  TB | 67% | 5 | 5 | 27 | 12 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  JAX | 65% | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BUF | 39% | 6 | 5 | 29 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CHI | 67% | 4 | 3 | -4 | 12 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  TEN | 46% | 3 | 1 | 58 | 14 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SF | 60% | 3 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  LV | 49% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 47 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  BAL | 60% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  NYJ | 52% | 3 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 75 | 0 | 0 |