Keenan Allen
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 61%
34 yrs · 6′2″, 211 lb · California · 2013 rd 3 pk 76
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.5 | 0.0 – 18.2 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 31.7 | 7.3 – 69.8 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 1.0 – 6.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.8 | 6.1 – 32.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 31.9 | 4.4 – 79.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 14.1% | no range | +610 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.3% | no range | +2949 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 33.3 | 0.33 | 21% | 0.44 | 1.50 | 64% | 9.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 8.2 | 4.6 | 32.2 | 0.20 | 25% | 0.53 | 1.33 | 61% | 9.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 31.0 | 0.10 | 22% | 0.45 | 1.17 | 57% | 7.8 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.7 | 4.3 | 33.3 | 0.33 | 21% | 0.44 | 1.50 | 64% | 9.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 100 | 1 | 21% | 1 | 3 | 64% | 29 |
| 2025 | 17 | 122 | 81 | 777 | 4 | 22% | 8 | 16 | 55% | 183 |
| 2024 | 15 | 121 | 70 | 744 | 7 | 27% | 9 | 17 | 87% | 184 |
| 2023 | 13 | 150 | 108 | 1,243 | 7 | 31% | 10 | 14 | 89% | 279 |
| 2022 | 10 | 89 | 66 | 752 | 4 | 23% | 6 | 16 | 74% | 164 |
| 2021 | 16 | 157 | 106 | 1,138 | 6 | 26% | 9 | 26 | 87% | 258 |
| 2020 | 14 | 147 | 100 | 992 | 8 | 27% | 8 | 19 | 83% | 245 |
| 2019 | 16 | 149 | 104 | 1,199 | 6 | 26% | 10 | 20 | 88% | 262 |
| 2018 | 15 | 136 | 97 | 1,196 | 6 | 29% | 10 | 16 | 84% | 260 |
| 2017 | 16 | 159 | 102 | 1,393 | 6 | 28% | 10 | 24 | 84% | 278 |
| 2016 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 19% | 0 | – | 37% | 12 |
| 2015 | 8 | 89 | 67 | 725 | 4 | 25% | 5 | 8 | 90% | 164 |
| 2014 | 14 | 121 | 77 | 783 | 4 | 25% | 8 | 13 | 91% | 177 |
| 2013 | 15 | 104 | 71 | 1,046 | 8 | 21% | 7 | 21 | 90% | 222 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
21 injury entries across 11 seasons · 13 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 103 | 76% | 2.4 | +0.2 |
| Receiving yards | 103 | 80% | 28.1 | +3.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 103 | 83% | 28.3 | +2.9 |
| Anytime TD | 103 | 34% vs 34% | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 103 | 87% | 8.4 | -0.2 |
| First TD scorer | 103 | 7% vs 11% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 6 | 50% | 6.7 | +6.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  HOU | 73% | 9 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  KC | 51% | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  BAL | 67% | 6 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  NE | 60% | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  DEN | 54% | 13 | 7 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 | HOU | 57% | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  DAL | 47% | 5 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 | KC | 42% | 7 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  PHI | 57% | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  LV | 60% | 5 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |