BAL@
IND41–23
Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts · 2026 week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET
Lucas Oil Stadium
Spread
IND +3
Total
48.5
BAL implied
25.8
IND implied
22.8
Indoorsroof closed — wind and temperature are not factors, and the model treats them as zero
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | 0.2032 | -0.08022 |
| Success rateoff | 55.2%2 | 42.8%17 |
| Yards / playoff | 6.942 | 4.6629 |
| Explosive rateoff | 11.6%4 | 9.5%10 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 63.9%12 | 66.7%6 |
| Third downoff | 38.4%17 | 37.7%19 |
| EPA / playdef | -0.04013 | 0.14929 |
| Success alloweddef | 43.6%16 | 48.7%29 |
| Yards alloweddef | 4.846 | 6.5231 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | -0.0749 | 0.21326 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | 0.02828 | 0.06831 |
| Pass ratestyle | 51.3%30 | 58.1%21 |
| PROEstyle | -7.827 | -4.623 |
| Sec / playstyle | 33.831 | 32.429 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 57.024 | 61.711 |
Projections
189 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
7
Derrick Henry94.2+11.4%over
Jonathan Taylor64.9+37.5%under
Lamar Jackson21.0+63.7%under
DJ Giddenslow17.6
Daniel Jones13.5+5.7%over
+2 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
7
Derrick Henry19.9+5.2%over
Jonathan Taylor16.0+19.3%under
DJ Giddenslow4.8
Lamar Jackson4.7+31.2%under
Daniel Jones3.0+4.2%under
+2 more on the slate table
Longest rush
19
Derrick Henrycheck18.4
Jonathan Taylor15.9
DJ Giddenslow11.3
Lamar Jackson8.9+32.0%under
Daniel Jones8.1+3.2%over
+14 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
23
Zay Flowers57.2+9.3%under
Alec Pierce56.0+38.0%over
Tyler Warren37.4+18.5%under
Keenan Allen29.2
Mark Andrews28.2+6.7%under
+18 more on the slate table
Receptions
23
Zay Flowers4.4+14.1%under
Tyler Warren4.0+22.2%under
Alec Pierce3.8+55.0%over
Mark Andrews3.0+3.1%under
Keenan Allen3.0+3.7%under
+18 more on the slate table
Longest reception
23
Zay Flowers26.6+1.2%over
Alec Pierce25.5+24.1%over
Devontez WalkerQ21.4
Rashod Bateman19.6+5.9%over
Chris Moore18.9
+18 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
23
Derrick Henry103.4+9.9%over
Jonathan Taylor86.7+13.7%under
Zay Flowers68.2
Alec Pierce56.8
Tyler Warren39.4
+18 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
25
Derrick Henry43.1%
Jonathan Taylor34.8%
Zay Flowerscheck27.6%
Alec Pierce24.5%+20.0%yes
Tyler Warren21.8%
+20 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
25
Derrick Henryoverstated15.5%
Jonathan Taylor10.2%
Tyler Warren9.1%+36.6%yes
Mark Andrews6.7%
Zay Flowers6.7%
+20 more on the slate table
Not available this week
32 players with no projection- DTAeneas PeeblesOUT
- WRAlec PierceIR
- WRAshton DulinOUT
- LBAustin AjiakeOUT
- DBCameron MitchellIR
- GDanny PinterIR
- WRDarius SlaytonOUT
- WRDevontez WalkerOUT
- RBDJ GiddensOUT
- CEthan PocicOUT
- WRJa'Kobi LaneIR
- SAFK'Von WallaceOUT
- DTNnamdi MadubuikeOUT
- QBRiley LeonardOUT
- OTRonnie StanleyOUT
- LBTeddye BuchananOUT
- TEWill MalloryIR
- WRZay FlowersOUT
- DEBrent UrbanFA
- DECarl LawsonFA
- DBChris LammonsFA
- NTChris WormleyFA
- WRDeAndre HopkinsFA
- LBGermaine PrattFA
- OTJoe NoteboomFA
- DBJohnathan EdwardsFA
- CBKenny Moore IIFA
- CBMike HiltonFA
- QBPhilip RiversFA
- DTTaven BryanFA
- DETyquan LewisFA
- CBXavien HowardFA