NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Austin Hooper

TE
74% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
47.5
Implied team total
22.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
41%

31 yrs · 6′4″, 254 lb · Stanford · 2016 rd 3 pk 81

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Receiving
Receiving yards17.30.0 – 41.9–Solid
Receptions1.90.0 – 3.5–Solid
Longest reception14.43.9 – 27.0–Solid
Rush + rec yards16.30.0 – 42.5–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD10.2%no range+879Solid
First TD scorer1.9%no range+5205Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.02.013.70.3310%0.191.0037%5.4
Last 552.61.411.00.209%0.191.0041%3.7
Last 10102.51.514.40.208%0.171.0043%4.1
2026 season23.02.015.50.5011%0.211.0033%6.5

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202626431111%0133%13
202513262126327%2552%59
2024175945476312%4953%109
202316312523407%2451%48
2022176041444214%5751%97
2021156138345314%41369%93
2020137046435418%5978%114
2019139775787619%52079%192
2018168871660414%51576%163
2017166549526313%4977%120
201613271927136%2647%64

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

6 injury entries across 4 seasons · 8 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee

2025Concussion
2020Neck×2AbdomenIllness
2019Knee×3
2016Knee×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions10990%1.3+0.0
Receiving yards10986%15.6+0.6
Rush + rec yards10985%15.2+0.9
Anytime TD10919% vs 17%0.3-0.0
First TD scorer1094% vs 5%0.1+0.0
Longest reception10389%6.3+0.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3GB23%22110001
2026 wk 2CAR43%42200000
2025 wk 22SEA44%32100000
2025 wk 20HOU34%21140000
2025 wk 19LAC59%2000000
2025 wk 18MIA41%1150000
2025 wk 17NYJ41%22110001
2025 wk 16BAL31%42340000
2025 wk 12CIN56%43390000
2025 wk 10TB56%1000000