NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Chris Moore

WR
68% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
42.5
Implied team total
27.0
Depth
#4
Recent snaps
37%

33 yrs · 6′1″, 200 lb · Cincinnati · 2016 rd 4 pk 107

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush5.70.0 – 15.0–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards21.10.0 – 53.6–Solid
Receptions1.60.0 – 3.1–Solid
Longest reception18.74.9 – 36.3–Solid
Rush + rec yards15.60.0 – 50.6–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD12.0%no range+735Solid
First TD scorer1.9%no range+5244Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 332.01.021.00.338%0.251.0048%5.1
Last 551.40.815.60.206%0.171.0037%3.6
Last 10102.31.121.10.209%0.241.0049%4.4
2026 season32.01.021.00.338%0.251.0048%5.1

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20263636318%1148%15
202510231120719%2250%39
202315352242409%4158%68
2022157448548216%51167%115
202110222122727%1234%56
2020200000%0–8%0
20197532103%0019%5
201815251919615%2140%46
201713381824837%3642%60
2016141674603%1–16%20

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

9 injury entries across 7 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often finger

2025Illness
2022Hip×2Foot
2021Illness
2020Finger×5Thigh×2
2019Thumb×3
2018Shoulder
2017Hip

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions6093%1.2+0.1
Receiving yards6083%18.5+1.0
Rush + rec yards6085%19.3+0.9
Anytime TD6012% vs 8%0.2-0.0
First TD scorer543% vs 2%0.0-0.0
Longest reception4475%12.0+3.0
Longest rush771%10.0+9.0

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3DAL52%1140001
2026 wk 2NO55%3160000
2026 wk 1IND37%21530000
2025 wk 17DAL18%11150000
2025 wk 16PHI22%0000000
2025 wk 11MIA82%52280000
2025 wk 10DET20%0000000
2025 wk 7DAL79%52590000
2025 wk 6CHI68%53460001
2025 wk 5LAC59%1000000