NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Hunter Henry

TE
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
21.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
76%

31 yrs · 6′5″, 249 lb · Arkansas · 2016 rd 2 pk 35

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Receiving
Receiving yards28.14.3 – 64.0–Solid
Receptions3.11.0 – 5.2–Solid
Longest reception18.34.6 – 29.2–Solid
Rush + rec yards26.83.7 – 63.2–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD14.4%no range+593Solid
First TD scorer2.4%no range+4105Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.32.323.70.0013%0.291.0079%4.7
Last 553.62.422.80.0013%0.271.0076%4.7
Last 10104.03.032.30.3015%0.301.3374%8.0
2026 season33.32.323.70.0013%0.291.0079%4.7

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
2026310771013%1179%14
2025178760768717%62279%179
2024169766674220%71881%145
2023136142419615%5675%120
2022165941509212%5780%104
2021167550603915%61870%164
2020149360613418%51487%145
2019127655652519%51379%150
2017126245579414%41267%127
2016135336478812%31861%130

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

9 injury entries across 7 seasons · 6 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee

2024Foot
2023Knee×3Ankle
2022Knee
2021Neck
2019Knee×5
2018Knee
2016Knee×2Concussion

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions10987%1.7+0.1
Receiving yards10979%21.3+1.3
Rush + rec yards10977%21.0+1.5
Anytime TD10924% vs 28%0.4+0.0
First TD scorer1096% vs 3%0.1-0.0
Longest reception10684%7.2+0.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3JAX70%2150000
2026 wk 2PIT91%53400000
2026 wk 1SEA76%33260000
2025 wk 22SEA72%53310000
2025 wk 21DEN69%32120000
2025 wk 20HOU72%2150000
2025 wk 19LAC88%53640001
2025 wk 18MIA58%55560000
2025 wk 17NYJ65%33490001
2025 wk 16BAL81%76350001