NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
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NE@BUF

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills · 2026 week 4 · Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET · division game

Highmark Stadium

Spread
BUF -6.5
Total
48.5
NE implied
21.0
BUF implied
27.5
Partially cloudy
forecast
Temp
50°F
Wind
8 mph
gusting 12
Precip
13%
Humidity
88%

2026 form

league rank of 32
MetricNE1–2BUF3–0
EPA / playoff-0.144270.1704
Success rateoff40.0%2548.3%7
Yards / playoff5.36136.633
Explosive rateoff8.1%2113.7%1
Red-zone TDoff16.7%3266.7%6
Third downoff35.4%2455.1%2
EPA / playdef-0.034140.05723
Success alloweddef42.6%1146.5%24
Yards alloweddef4.9375.4516
Pass EPA alloweddef-0.040120.09619
Rush EPA alloweddef0.00526-0.07219
Pass ratestyle59.1%1956.5%23
PROEstyle-2.118-1.313
Sec / playstyle30.81730.011
Plays / gamestyle57.72258.716

Projections

221 across 16 markets

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Touchdowns

Not available this week

28 players with no projection