NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Dalton Schultz

TE
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
25.8
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
57%

30 yrs · 6′5″, 242 lb · Stanford · 2018 rd 4 pk 137

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Receiving
Receiving yards36.99.3 – 72.2–Solid
Receptions4.51.0 – 7.2–Solid
Longest reception20.06.7 – 33.5–Solid
Rush + rec yards39.17.5 – 81.8–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD22.4%no range+346Solid
First TD scorer4.4%no range+2155Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 338.36.368.30.0021%0.401.0063%13.2
Last 556.24.852.80.0016%0.301.0057%10.1
Last 10105.74.748.90.2017%0.341.2064%10.8
2026 season38.36.368.30.0021%0.401.0063%13.2

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
202632519205021%1163%40
20251710682777319%71271%178
2024178553532215%6878%118
2023158859635518%51573%151
2022158957577518%61678%143
20211710478808817%61681%209
2020168963615415%51485%147
2019621601%0–12%2
20188171211606%1346%24

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee

2025Knee
2023Hamstring×2
2022Knee×3

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions11288%1.8+0.1
Receiving yards11279%20.9+0.8
Rush + rec yards11277%20.7+1.0
Anytime TD11223% vs 23%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer1105% vs 3%0.1-0.0
Longest reception10583%6.8+0.6

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3IND54%33300000
2026 wk 2CIN68%14121400000
2026 wk 1BUF66%84350000
2025 wk 20NE16%22470000
2025 wk 19PIT79%43120000
2025 wk 18IND56%44730000
2025 wk 17LAC78%43190000
2025 wk 16LV71%55350001
2025 wk 15ARI79%98760001
2025 wk 14KC74%43220000