BUF@
HOU36–31
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans · 2026 week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET
Reliant Stadium
Spread
HOU +1.5
Total
44.5
BUF implied
23.0
HOU implied
21.5
Indoorsroof closed — wind and temperature are not factors, and the model treats them as zero
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | BUF3–0 | HOU0–3 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | 0.1704 | -0.11624 |
| Success rateoff | 48.3%7 | 39.1%27 |
| Yards / playoff | 6.633 | 4.7526 |
| Explosive rateoff | 13.7%1 | 7.3%23 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 66.7%6 | 48.9%23 |
| Third downoff | 55.1%2 | 34.3%25 |
| EPA / playdef | 0.05723 | 0.00719 |
| Success alloweddef | 46.5%24 | 37.1%3 |
| Yards alloweddef | 5.4516 | 5.5420 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | 0.09619 | 0.12325 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | -0.07219 | -0.1948 |
| Pass ratestyle | 56.5%23 | 65.9%6 |
| PROEstyle | -1.313 | -2.721 |
| Sec / playstyle | 30.011 | 27.54 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 58.716 | 65.04 |
Projections
219 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Completions
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
9- James Cook64.1+28.2%under
- Josh Allen39.4+12.1%over
- Woody Marks37.9+25.0%over
- Ray Davis29.9
- David Montgomery24.9+60.3%under
+4 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
9- James Cook15.3+16.2%under
- Woody Marks8.9+5.5%over
- Josh Allen8.6+15.7%over
- David Montgomery6.6+67.0%under
- Ray Davis5.7
+4 more on the slate table
Longest rush
21+16 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
27- Nico Collins67.7+2.8%under
- Khalil Shakir47.5+15.1%over
- Dalton Kincaid33.4+6.0%under
- DJ Moore33.3+19.9%under
- Dalton Schultz30.0+7.2%under
+22 more on the slate table
Receptions
27- Khalil Shakir5.0+9.9%over
- Nico Collins4.6+9.5%under
- DJ Moore3.7+2.4%under
- Dalton Schultz3.5
- Dalton Kincaid3.4
+22 more on the slate table
Longest reception
27- Nico Collins24.7
- Khalil Shakir22.0+23.7%over
- Kayshon Boutte20.2+21.0%over
- DJ Moore19.3+0.6%under
- Dalton Kincaid18.4
+22 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
27+22 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
29+24 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
29+24 more on the slate table
Not available this week
39 players with no projection- LBAzeez Al-ShaairDOUBTFUL
- OTBraden SmithIR
- WRDJ MooreOUT
- CBDorian StrongPUP
- LBE.J. SpeedPUP
- GEd IngramOUT
- DTEd OliverOUT
- LBHenry To'oTo'oIR
- CBJa'Marcus IngramIR
- DTJaden CrumedyOUT
- DEJadeveon ClowneyOUT
- WRJayden HigginsIR
- SAFM.J. StewartPUP
- DTMario EdwardsIR
- LBMichael DannaOUT
- WRNico CollinsOUT
- RBTy JohnsonOUT
- WRTyrell ShaversPUP
- WRBrandin CooksFA
- WRBryce OliverFA
- WRCurtis SamuelFA
- CBDarius SlayFA
- SAFDarnell SavageFA
- DTDenico AutryFA
- WRGabe DavisFA
- TEHarrison BryantFA
- RBJakob JohnsonFA
- DEJoey BosaFA
- DTJordan PhillipsFA
- FSJordan PoyerFA
- WRJustin WatsonFA
- DTLarry OgunjobiFA
- DTLeki FotuFA
- DEMarlon DavidsonFA
- OLBMatt MilanoFA
- OLBMatthew JudonFA
- WRMecole HardmanFA
- RBNick ChubbFA
- CBTre'Davious WhiteFA