Mark Andrews
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 27.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 59%
31 yrs · 6′5″, 250 lb · Oklahoma · 2018 rd 3 pk 86
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 36.8 | 6.0 – 66.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 1.0 – 5.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 19.0 | 5.7 – 31.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 33.9 | 5.5 – 73.4 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 21.7% | no range | +361 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 5.8% | no range | +1635 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 40.7 | 0.00 | 25% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 65% | 8.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 32.8 | 0.00 | 22% | 0.46 | 1.00 | 59% | 7.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 26.8 | 0.00 | 20% | 0.42 | 1.40 | 58% | 5.6 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 40.7 | 0.00 | 25% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 65% | 8.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 122 | 0 | 25% | 1 | 1 | 65% | 25 |
| 2025 | 17 | 70 | 48 | 422 | 5 | 17% | 6 | 15 | 62% | 131 |
| 2024 | 17 | 69 | 55 | 673 | 11 | 15% | 6 | 16 | 61% | 189 |
| 2023 | 10 | 61 | 45 | 544 | 6 | 21% | 5 | 14 | 70% | 135 |
| 2022 | 15 | 113 | 73 | 847 | 5 | 29% | 10 | 19 | 84% | 190 |
| 2021 | 17 | 153 | 107 | 1,361 | 9 | 26% | 10 | 27 | 76% | 301 |
| 2020 | 14 | 88 | 58 | 701 | 7 | 25% | 8 | 18 | 66% | 170 |
| 2019 | 15 | 98 | 64 | 852 | 10 | 25% | 9 | 15 | 44% | 207 |
| 2018 | 16 | 50 | 34 | 552 | 3 | 10% | 4 | 7 | 35% | 107 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
8 injury entries across 4 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 112 | 83% | 1.8 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 112 | 82% | 23.3 | +0.7 |
| Rush + rec yards | 112 | 79% | 23.6 | +0.8 |
| Anytime TD | 112 | 29% vs 38% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 112 | 6% vs 10% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 109 | 82% | 8.1 | +0.8 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  DAL | 52% | 5 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  NO | 71% | 7 | 6 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  IND | 72% | 6 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  PIT | 59% | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  GB | 41% | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NE | 44% | 3 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  CIN | 41% | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | PIT | 68% | 5 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | CIN | 68% | 6 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  NYJ | 67% | 3 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |