Calvin Ridley
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 15.5
- Depth
- #4
- Recent snaps
- 35%
31 yrs · 6′1″, 190 lb · Alabama · 2018 rd 1 pk 26
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.0 | 0.0 – 15.1 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 21.8 | 0.0 – 49.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 0.0 – 2.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.8 | 5.2 – 32.8 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 13.7 | 0.0 – 46.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 8.7% | no range | +1052 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.5% | no range | +3916 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.15 | – | 32% | 2.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 39.4 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.24 | 1.00 | 35% | 5.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 41.4 | 0.00 | 15% | 0.39 | 1.00 | 55% | 6.3 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 17.5 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.19 | – | 48% | 2.8 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 7% | 0 | – | 48% | 6 |
| 2025 | 7 | 36 | 17 | 303 | 0 | 17% | 3 | 2 | 57% | 47 |
| 2024 | 17 | 120 | 64 | 1,017 | 4 | 24% | 11 | 8 | 81% | 199 |
| 2023 | 17 | 136 | 76 | 1,016 | 8 | 23% | 10 | 28 | 85% | 230 |
| 2021 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 281 | 2 | 27% | 3 | 11 | 86% | 71 |
| 2020 | 15 | 143 | 90 | 1,374 | 9 | 25% | 10 | 24 | 78% | 282 |
| 2019 | 13 | 93 | 63 | 866 | 7 | 17% | 6 | 10 | 75% | 197 |
| 2018 | 16 | 92 | 64 | 821 | 10 | 16% | 6 | 9 | 61% | 207 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 3 seasons · 5 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 74 | 81% | 1.8 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 74 | 72% | 32.7 | +3.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 74 | 73% | 32.2 | +3.3 |
| Anytime TD | 74 | 29% vs 34% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 74 | 7% vs 15% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 72 | 81% | 10.0 | +1.7 |
| Longest rush | 20 | 60% | 6.8 | +1.7 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
