Ashton Dulin
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 21%
29 yrs · 6′2″, 215 lb · Malone
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.7 | 0.0 – 19.7 | – | Differs from form |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 11.7 | 0.0 – 23.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.0 – 2.1 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.4 | 4.0 – 31.7 | – | Differs from form |
| Rush + rec yards | 10.9 | 0.0 – 28.9 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.0% | no range | +1564 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.8% | no range | +5402 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.09 | – | 23% | 0.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 9.6 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.07 | – | 21% | 1.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10.6 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.09 | 0.50 | 23% | 1.9 |
| 2026 season | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3% | 0.05 | – | 19% | 0.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 19% | 0 |
| 2025 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 106 | 0 | 3% | 1 | 1 | 21% | 20 |
| 2024 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 67 | 1 | 2% | 1 | 1 | 21% | 19 |
| 2022 | 10 | 22 | 15 | 207 | 1 | 6% | 2 | 4 | 29% | 43 |
| 2021 | 16 | 22 | 13 | 173 | 2 | 5% | 2 | 2 | 31% | 46 |
| 2020 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 2% | 0 | – | 11% | 9 |
| 2019 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1% | 0 | – | 14% | 4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 5 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 69 | 8% vs 6% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Receptions | 69 | 97% | 0.7 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 69 | 88% | 11.1 | +1.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 69 | 88% | 12.0 | +1.3 |
| First TD scorer | 65 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 28 | 68% | 11.2 | +4.1 |
| Longest rush | 13 | 69% | 7.4 | +2.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 1 |  BAL | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  HOU | 37% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  JAX | 12% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  KC | 18% | 1 | 1 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  ATL | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  PIT | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  TEN | 25% | 1 | 1 | -8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 6 |  ARI | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 5 |  LV | 71% | 5 | 2 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  LA | 20% | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |