Josh Oliver
TE
29 yrs · 6′5″, 264 lb · San Jose State · 2019 rd 3 pk 69
Projections
Josh Oliver is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 15.3 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.14 | – | 55% | 2.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 16.6 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.17 | – | 61% | 2.9 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 14.5 | 0.20 | 8% | 0.15 | 2.00 | 57% | 4.0 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 15.3 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.14 | – | 55% | 2.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 8% | 0 | – | 55% | 8 |
| 2025 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 160 | 4 | 7% | 1 | 7 | 51% | 55 |
| 2024 | 12 | 28 | 22 | 258 | 3 | 8% | 2 | 3 | 55% | 66 |
| 2023 | 13 | 28 | 22 | 213 | 2 | 6% | 1 | 5 | 42% | 53 |
| 2022 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 149 | 2 | 8% | 2 | 10 | 49% | 41 |
| 2021 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 66 | 0 | 4% | 1 | 2 | 18% | 16 |
| 2019 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 5% | 0 | 1 | 46% | 5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 10 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 65 | 12% vs 15% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| Receptions | 65 | 92% | 0.9 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 65 | 91% | 12.2 | +0.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 65 | 91% | 12.5 | -0.2 |
| First TD scorer | 65 | 2% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 51 | 76% | 7.6 | +0.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  TB | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CHI | 60% | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  GB | 65% | 4 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | GB | 46% | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  DET | 93% | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NYG | 52% | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  DAL | 62% | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  WAS | 62% | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 12 | GB | 55% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | CHI | 35% | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |