GB@
MIN22–39
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings · 2026 week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET · division game
U.S. Bank Stadium
Spread
MIN -1.5
Total
46.5
GB implied
22.5
MIN implied
24.0
Indoorsdomed stadium — wind and temperature are not factors, and the model treats them as zero
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | GB1–2 | MIN3–0 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | -0.15429 | -0.15228 |
| Success rateoff | 36.0%30 | 30.2%32 |
| Yards / playoff | 5.0521 | 4.3132 |
| Explosive rateoff | 8.7%15 | 6.3%28 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 47.2%24 | 40.0%26 |
| Third downoff | 25.4%32 | 31.6%29 |
| EPA / playdef | 0.02721 | -0.2121 |
| Success alloweddef | 44.8%20 | 31.6%1 |
| Yards alloweddef | 5.2614 | 4.785 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | 0.12024 | -0.1382 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | -0.10715 | -0.3532 |
| Pass ratestyle | 72.5%1 | 53.0%29 |
| PROEstyle | +1.97 | -6.226 |
| Sec / playstyle | 26.52 | 32.126 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 59.315 | 54.029 |
Projections
183 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Completions
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
8+3 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
8+3 more on the slate table
Longest rush
17- Aaron Jones14.9+29.0%over
- Kyler Murray12.7+1.2%over
- Josh Jacobs10.6
- Chris Brooks10.3
- Jordan Mason9.8+14.4%under
+12 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
22- Christian Watson56.1
- Tucker Kraft50.6+8.3%over
- Justin Jefferson50.5+38.2%under
- Jayden Reed38.8+4.3%under
- Jauan Jennings32.4+24.8%over
+17 more on the slate table
Receptions
22- Justin Jefferson4.5+19.4%under
- Tucker Kraft4.3
- Christian Watson4.0
- T.J. Hockenson3.4
- Aaron Jones3.1+15.5%over
+17 more on the slate table
Longest reception
22- Christian Watson25.2
- Justin Jefferson22.9
- Jordan Addison22.5+8.8%over
- Jauan Jennings19.3+33.1%over
- Jayden Reed19.1
+17 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
22+17 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
24- Aaron Jones32.3%
- Christian Watsoncheck24.8%
- Justin Jefferson24.5%
- Tucker Kraftcheck23.6%
- Josh Jacobs19.9%
+19 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
24- Aaron Jonesoverstated15.1%+43.7%yes
- Justin Jefferson9.5%
- Tucker Kraft8.5%+18.7%yes
- Jordan Mason6.3%
- Christian Watsoncheck6.3%
+19 more on the slate table
Not available this week
27 players with no projection- DTAnthony CampbellOUT
- TEBen YurosekIR
- LBJamal AdamsIR
- WRJauan JenningsOUT
- NTJavon HargraveOUT
- WRJayden ReedIR
- RBJordan MasonIR
- TEJosh OliverIR
- WRJustin JeffersonOUT
- QBKyler MurrayOUT
- TELuke MusgravePUP
- LBMicah ParsonsPUP
- WRSavion WilliamsIR
- SAFTavierre ThomasOUT
- LBTy'Ron HopperOUT
- TEBen SimsFA
- FBC.J. HamFA
- QBClayton TuneFA
- DTEric JohnsonFA
- WRJakobie Keeney-JamesFA
- RBJaret PattersonFA
- CBJeff OkudahFA
- RBJerome FordFA
- TEJohn FitzPatrickFA
- DTQuinton BohannaFA
- CRyan KellyFA
- DLTaki TaimaniFA