Tony Pollard
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 15.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 55%
29 yrs · 6′0″, 209 lb · Memphis · 2019 rd 4 pk 128
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 61.0 | 14.8 – 112.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 13.9 | 1.0 – 20.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 20.0 | 6.0 – 33.3 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 11.9 | 0.0 – 31.3 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 0.0 – 4.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.2 | 1.8 – 24.4 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 73.0 | 21.2 – 116.7 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 27.7% | no range | +261 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 5.8% | no range | +1635 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 12.7 | 57.7 | 0.00 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 4.00 | 53% | 8.5 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 14.0 | 61.2 | 0.00 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 9.8 | 2.50 | 55% | 9.3 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.1 | 75.3 | 0.30 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 2.14 | 54% | 11.6 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 12.7 | 57.7 | 0.00 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 7.3 | 4.00 | 53% | 8.5 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 38 | 173 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 8 | 53% | 26 |
| 2025 | 17 | 242 | 1,082 | 5 | 41 | 33 | 206 | 20 | 62% | 186 |
| 2024 | 16 | 260 | 1,079 | 5 | 57 | 41 | 238 | 37 | 68% | 201 |
| 2023 | 17 | 252 | 1,005 | 6 | 67 | 55 | 311 | 74 | 71% | 223 |
| 2022 | 16 | 193 | 1,007 | 9 | 55 | 39 | 371 | 32 | 52% | 249 |
| 2021 | 15 | 130 | 719 | 2 | 46 | 39 | 337 | 24 | 35% | 163 |
| 2020 | 16 | 101 | 435 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 193 | 22 | 33% | 121 |
| 2019 | 14 | 86 | 455 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 107 | 9 | 20% | 89 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 4 seasons · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 115 | 80% | 25.7 | +2.1 |
| Receptions | 115 | 87% | 1.3 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 115 | 90% | 12.8 | +0.8 |
| Rush attempts | 115 | 90% | 3.9 | +0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 115 | 82% | 30.2 | +1.0 |
| Anytime TD | 115 | 35% vs 27% | 0.4 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 115 | 8% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 114 | 80% | 8.7 | +0.8 |
| Longest reception | 97 | 80% | 6.9 | +1.2 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  NYG | 53% | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  PHI | 55% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  NYJ | 52% | 2 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  JAX | 63% | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NO | 50% | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  KC | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 102 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  SF | 53% | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 104 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  CLE | 59% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 161 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 13 | JAX | 46% | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  SEA | 51% | 5 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 20 | 0 | 0 |