Noah Fant
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 25.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 37%
28 yrs · 6′4″, 249 lb · Iowa · 2019 rd 1 pk 20
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 17.1 | 0.0 – 34.8 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 0.0 – 3.7 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 12.4 | 3.1 – 25.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 16.2 | 0.0 – 45.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 10.5% | no range | +849 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.2% | no range | +3072 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 22.0 | 1.00 | 8% | 0.16 | 1.50 | 47% | 10.9 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 14.2 | 0.60 | 6% | 0.11 | 1.33 | 37% | 6.4 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 16.2 | 0.40 | 7% | 0.12 | 1.25 | 39% | 5.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 22.0 | 1.00 | 8% | 0.16 | 1.50 | 47% | 10.9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 66 | 3 | 8% | 0 | 3 | 47% | 33 |
| 2025 | 13 | 41 | 34 | 288 | 3 | 9% | 2 | 4 | 40% | 75 |
| 2024 | 14 | 64 | 48 | 500 | 1 | 15% | 4 | 5 | 63% | 104 |
| 2023 | 15 | 43 | 32 | 414 | 0 | 9% | 3 | 2 | 57% | 73 |
| 2022 | 17 | 63 | 50 | 486 | 4 | 12% | 4 | 9 | 60% | 123 |
| 2021 | 16 | 90 | 68 | 670 | 4 | 18% | 6 | 17 | 84% | 159 |
| 2020 | 14 | 93 | 62 | 673 | 3 | 20% | 6 | 13 | 76% | 149 |
| 2019 | 16 | 66 | 40 | 562 | 3 | 14% | 5 | 9 | 68% | 111 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
9 injury entries across 6 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 106 | 92% | 1.3 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 106 | 82% | 18.5 | +2.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 106 | 75% | 18.1 | +2.8 |
| Anytime TD | 106 | 19% vs 17% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 106 | 5% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 102 | 75% | 8.5 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LV | 57% | 4 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  BAL | 44% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DET | 41% | 8 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  CLE | 22% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  ARI | 22% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  BUF | 42% | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | BAL | 42% | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  NE | 28% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 |  PIT | 48% | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  CHI | 46% | 3 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |