NO@
DET30–31
New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions · 2026 week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
Spread
DET -7
Total
49.5
NO implied
21.3
DET implied
28.3
Indoorsdomed stadium — wind and temperature are not factors, and the model treats them as zero
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | NO1–2 | DET2–1 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | 0.00414 | 0.1346 |
| Success rateoff | 46.7%8 | 50.9%4 |
| Yards / playoff | 4.9824 | 5.6210 |
| Explosive rateoff | 6.6%27 | 10.3%8 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 64.4%11 | 86.7%2 |
| Third downoff | 53.3%5 | 41.6%12 |
| EPA / playdef | 0.07925 | 0.16630 |
| Success alloweddef | 50.9%30 | 48.2%28 |
| Yards alloweddef | 5.4015 | 5.8824 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | 0.11021 | 0.25528 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | 0.02627 | -0.02925 |
| Pass ratestyle | 65.0%7 | 62.2%14 |
| PROEstyle | +1.28 | +1.19 |
| Sec / playstyle | 28.45 | 29.99 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 73.01 | 64.76 |
Projections
169 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Completions
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
7- Jahmyr Gibbs57.4+42.8%under
- Travis Etienne52.6
- Alvin KamaraQ23.9
- Tyler Shough17.6+3.4%under
- Kendre Miller16.0
+2 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
7+2 more on the slate table
Longest rush
17+12 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
20- Amon-Ra St. Brown88.1+6.3%over
- Chris Olave80.1
- Jameson Williams63.4+5.7%over
- Juwan Johnson48.8+7.3%over
- Sam LaPorta48.6+5.5%over
+15 more on the slate table
Receptions
20- Amon-Ra St. Brown7.1+0.5%over
- Chris Olave5.9+1.3%under
- Jahmyr Gibbs4.9+14.3%over
- Sam LaPorta4.8+16.0%over
- Jameson Williams4.5+7.3%over
+15 more on the slate table
Longest reception
20- Chris Olave26.7+4.8%over
- Jameson Williams25.5
- Amon-Ra St. Brown25.2+0.1%over
- Sam LaPorta20.9+11.7%over
- Juwan Johnson18.8
+15 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
20- Jahmyr Gibbs93.0+46.5%under
- Amon-Ra St. Brown88.0
- Chris Olave79.9
- Travis Etienne73.9
- Jameson Williams57.5
+15 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
22- Jahmyr Gibbs42.6%
- Amon-Ra St. Brown35.9%
- Travis Etienne34.0%
- Chris Olavecheck25.2%
- Sam LaPortacheck22.8%
+17 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
22- Jahmyr Gibbsoverstated15.7%
- Amon-Ra St. Brown12.7%
- Travis Etienne9.9%
- Jameson Williams6.5%
- Sam LaPortacheck6.5%
+17 more on the slate table
Not available this week
36 players with no projection- RBAlvin KamaraOUT
- FSAvonte MaddoxIR
- OTBen BartchOUT
- DTBryan BreseeIR
- LBCameron JordanOUT
- LBDamone ClarkIR
- CBDecamerion RichardsonOUT
- LBDevin WhiteOUT
- LBIsaiah StalbirdOUT
- RBIsiah PachecoIR
- LBJaylan FordIR
- RBKendre MillerOUT
- WRMason TiptonPUP
- DTMekhi WingoOUT
- TEMoliki MatavaoIR
- RBTravis EtienneOUT
- TETreyton WelchOUT
- RBTy ChandlerIR
- QBZach WilsonOUT
- TEAnthony FirkserFA
- CBArthur MauletFA
- OTChris HubbardFA
- OTDan SkipperFA
- WRDante PettisFA
- RBDevin NealFA
- TEGiovanni RicciFA
- CGraham GlasgowFA
- TEJack StollFA
- CBJalen MillsFA
- DEJonah WilliamsFA
- DEPat O'ConnorFA
- WRSamori ToureFA
- OTTaylor DeckerFA
- TETaysom HillFA
- TETyler ConklinFA
- ILBZach CunninghamFA