Rico Dowdle
RB
28 yrs · 5′11″, 218 lb · South Carolina
Projections
Rico Dowdle is listed Out and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.7 | 15.3 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 11.3 | 1.00 | 40% | 4.3 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.8 | 23.0 | 0.00 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 11.6 | 1.00 | 47% | 5.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.7 | 33.4 | 0.10 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 18.9 | 2.71 | 54% | 8.2 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 7.5 | 18.5 | 0.00 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 42% | 5.3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 1 | 42% | 11 |
| 2025 | 17 | 236 | 1,076 | 6 | 50 | 39 | 297 | 40 | 56% | 216 |
| 2024 | 16 | 235 | 1,079 | 2 | 49 | 39 | 249 | 33 | 58% | 198 |
| 2023 | 16 | 89 | 361 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 144 | 20 | 22% | 92 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1% | 0 |
| 2020 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4% | 2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
3 injury entries across 3 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 58 | 26% vs 26% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| Rushing yards | 58 | 79% | 27.5 | +2.0 |
| Receptions | 58 | 93% | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 58 | 88% | 9.6 | +0.3 |
| Rush attempts | 58 | 86% | 4.2 | +0.6 |
| Rush + rec yards | 58 | 79% | 29.9 | +3.2 |
| First TD scorer | 55 | 7% vs 9% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest rush | 53 | 91% | 5.5 | -0.2 |
| Longest reception | 43 | 84% | 6.0 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  NE | 26% | 2 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  ATL | 58% | 5 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  LA | 36% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  TB | 53% | 2 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  SEA | 64% | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | TB | 57% | 6 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  NO | 60% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 13 | LA | 42% | 2 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  SF | 65% | 4 | 4 | 36 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | ATL | 82% | 7 | 5 | 55 | 19 | 45 | 0 | 0 |