ATL@
PIT13–20
Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers · 2026 week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET
Acrisure Stadium
Spread
PIT -6.5
Total
40.5
ATL implied
17.0
PIT implied
23.5
Rain, overcast
forecastTemp
70°F
Wind
5 mph
gusting 8
Precip
100%
Humidity
94%
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | ATL1–2 | PIT2–1 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | -0.17530 | -0.14326 |
| Success rateoff | 45.5%10 | 40.0%24 |
| Yards / playoff | 5.3215 | 5.1219 |
| Explosive rateoff | 8.2%20 | 8.6%16 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 80.0%4 | 27.8%30 |
| Third downoff | 35.8%22 | 33.3%28 |
| EPA / playdef | -0.0769 | -0.04312 |
| Success alloweddef | 38.2%6 | 44.5%18 |
| Yards alloweddef | 5.0010 | 5.5821 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | -0.01813 | -0.1164 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | -0.2476 | -0.03524 |
| Pass ratestyle | 47.9%32 | 68.6%3 |
| PROEstyle | -12.432 | +5.01 |
| Sec / playstyle | 31.622 | 30.012 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 61.711 | 60.713 |
Projections
168 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Completions
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
7- Bijan Robinson66.2+4.3%under
- Jaylen Warren51.1+12.4%over
- Rico Dowdle31.6+26.6%under
- Brian Robinson18.5
- Tyler Goodson7.6
+2 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
7- Bijan Robinson14.9+37.6%under
- Jaylen Warren12.4+2.2%over
- Rico Dowdle8.3+39.4%under
- Brian Robinson4.8
- Cooper RushQ2.0
+2 more on the slate table
Longest rush
16- Bijan Robinsoncheck19.2+4.6%over
- Jaylen Warren13.6
- Rico Dowdle9.7+13.2%under
- Brian Robinson7.7
- Tyler Goodson7.1
+11 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
20- Drake London60.5+6.4%over
- DK Metcalf51.9+1.4%over
- Kyle Pitts49.0+16.4%over
- Michael Pittman33.3
- Bijan Robinson31.9+0.8%under
+15 more on the slate table
Receptions
20- Kyle Pitts4.6+13.4%over
- Drake London4.6+3.7%under
- DK Metcalf4.3+2.3%over
- Bijan Robinson4.0
- Michael Pittman3.7
+15 more on the slate table
Longest reception
20- Drake London25.1+11.5%over
- DK Metcalf21.8
- Kyle Pitts19.7+19.8%over
- Jahan Dotson18.8+35.8%over
- Michael Pittman17.8
+15 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
20- Bijan Robinson98.1+14.8%under
- Drake London62.9
- Jaylen Warren61.4+3.1%under
- Kyle Pitts50.6
- DK Metcalf48.3
+15 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
22+17 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
22- Jaylen Warren10.8%
- Bijan Robinson10.5%
- DK Metcalf10.5%+15.2%yes
- Rico Dowdle7.2%
- Drake London7.2%+7.6%yes
+17 more on the slate table
Not available this week
20 players with no projection- CBA.J. TerrellIR
- WRBeaux CollinsIR
- LBChristian HarrisOUT
- QBCooper RushOUT
- DEDa'Shawn HandIR
- SAFDeShon ElliottIR
- QBJack StrandOUT
- LBJD BertrandIR
- WRMichael PittmanOUT
- RBRico DowdleOUT
- DESamson EbukamOUT
- QBTua TagovailoaOUT
- WRAdam ThielenFA
- GAndrus PeatFA
- DTDaniel EkualeFA
- FSJabrill PeppersFA
- SAFJordan FullerFA
- DELeonard FloydFA
- WRMarquez Valdes-ScantlingFA
- DESam RobertsFA