Colby Parkinson
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 23.3
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 67%
27 yrs · 6′7″, 265 lb · Stanford · 2020 rd 4 pk 133
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 18.2 | 0.0 – 51.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.6 | 0.0 – 3.9 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 14.5 | 4.1 – 27.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 25.2 | 0.0 – 61.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 17.7% | no range | +464 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.3% | no range | +4165 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.09 | 1.00 | 64% | 1.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 27.8 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.17 | 1.00 | 67% | 4.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.4 | 2.8 | 35.8 | 0.50 | 12% | 0.22 | 1.57 | 75% | 9.4 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.09 | 1.00 | 64% | 1.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 5% | 0 | 2 | 64% | 5 |
| 2025 | 14 | 56 | 43 | 408 | 8 | 12% | 3 | 22 | 62% | 130 |
| 2024 | 16 | 49 | 30 | 294 | 1 | 10% | 3 | 9 | 57% | 65 |
| 2023 | 15 | 34 | 25 | 247 | 2 | 7% | 2 | 8 | 49% | 62 |
| 2022 | 14 | 34 | 25 | 322 | 2 | 8% | 2 | 6 | 42% | 69 |
| 2021 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 6% | 1 | 3 | 38% | 8 |
| 2020 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 6% | 0 | 1 | 26% | 4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often shoulder
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 71 | 16% vs 18% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| Receptions | 71 | 92% | 1.1 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 71 | 87% | 13.7 | -0.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 71 | 89% | 13.2 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 71 | 4% vs 1% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 63 | 79% | 6.9 | +0.3 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  DEN | 43% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  NYG | 71% | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  SF | 77% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  SEA | 77% | 4 | 3 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  CHI | 68% | 7 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  CAR | 75% | 3 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  ARI | 84% | 7 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  ATL | 78% | 7 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | SEA | 86% | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  DET | 86% | 7 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |