SF@
LA27–7
San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams · 2026 week 1 · Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM ET · division game
Melbourne Cricket Groundneutral site — no home crowd for LA
Spread
LA -3.5
Total
47.5
SF implied
22.0
LA implied
25.5
Indoorsdomed stadium — wind and temperature are not factors, and the model treats them as zero
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | SF3–0 | LA1–2 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | 0.3811 | 0.01313 |
| Success rateoff | 56.8%1 | 46.5%9 |
| Yards / playoff | 7.481 | 6.624 |
| Explosive rateoff | 12.6%2 | 11.8%3 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 88.9%1 | 51.1%20 |
| Third downoff | 68.1%1 | 43.9%11 |
| EPA / playdef | -0.03415 | -0.0986 |
| Success alloweddef | 45.9%23 | 40.4%7 |
| Yards alloweddef | 4.968 | 4.452 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | -0.00415 | -0.1343 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | -0.07318 | -0.03923 |
| Pass ratestyle | 54.5%27 | 60.5%17 |
| PROEstyle | +3.64 | -1.816 |
| Sec / playstyle | 33.730 | 30.816 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 52.331 | 64.07 |
Projections
195 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
7- Christian McCaffrey58.8
- Kyren Williams50.9+1.5%under
- Blake Corum25.4+29.9%under
- Brock Purdy19.8
- Jordan Jameslow18.8
+2 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
7- Christian McCaffrey13.2+29.1%under
- Kyren Williams12.8+0.8%under
- Blake Corum7.1+38.2%under
- Jordan Jameslow4.8
- Brock Purdy4.0+2.6%over
+2 more on the slate table
Longest rush
19- Christian McCaffrey16.1+8.1%over
- Kyren Williams14.6+12.6%over
- Brock Purdy11.6+14.2%over
- Blake Corum9.8+16.7%under
- Jordan Jameslow9.5
+14 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
24- Puka Nacua105.4+6.1%over
- Mike Evans59.5+11.0%over
- Davante Adams54.5
- George Kittle51.3+25.3%over
- Deebo Samuel Sr.47.2
+19 more on the slate table
Receptions
24- Puka Nacua7.1
- Christian McCaffrey5.1
- George Kittle5.0+38.6%over
- Mike Evans4.7+12.9%over
- Deebo Samuel Sr.4.1
+19 more on the slate table
Longest reception
24- Puka Nacua28.6+1.1%over
- Davante Adams24.0+8.1%over
- Mike Evans23.3+13.9%over
- George Kittle19.2+10.5%over
- Deebo Samuel Sr.19.0
+19 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
24- Puka Nacua94.7
- Christian McCaffrey94.2+14.0%under
- Kyren Williams72.5+0.8%over
- Mike Evans56.7
- Deebo Samuel Sr.55.5
+19 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
26- Kyren Williams39.0%
- Christian McCaffrey38.3%
- Puka Nacuacheck36.8%
- Mike Evans27.1%
- Colby Parkinson26.3%+28.9%yes
+21 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
26+21 more on the slate table
Not available this week
32 players with no projection- GBrett TothIR
- DTC.J. WestIR
- WRChristian KirkIR
- WRDemarcus RobinsonIR
- TEJake TongesIR
- DEJohn Franklin-MyersOUT
- RBJordan JamesOUT
- WRJordan WatkinsOUT
- WRJordan WhittingtonOUT
- OLJustin DedichIR
- WRMike EvansOUT
- LBMyles GarrettIR
- CBNate HobbsIR
- DENick BosaOUT
- LBNick MartinIR
- WRPuka NacuaOUT
- WRRicky PearsallIR
- RBRonnie RiversIR
- LBTatum BethuneOUT
- TETerrance FergusonDOUBTFUL
- WRTutu AtwellOUT
- CBAhkello WitherspoonFA
- DEBryce HuffFA
- OTD.J. HumphriesFA
- CBDarious WilliamsFA
- MLBEric KendricksFA
- QBJimmy GaroppoloFA
- OLBKyzir WhiteFA
- WRMalik TurnerFA
- LBNick HamptonFA
- OTRob HavensteinFA
- DEYetur Gross-MatosFA