NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Jauan Jennings

WR
92% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
38.5
Implied team total
24.5
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
78%

29 yrs · 6′3″, 212 lb · Tennessee · 2020 rd 7 pk 217

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush5.90.0 – 16.2–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards19.30.0 – 62.5–Solid
Receptions2.00.0 – 4.0–Solid
Longest reception18.14.5 – 33.5–Solid
Rush + rec yards21.30.0 – 61.5–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD12.6%no range+694Solid
First TD scorer2.0%no range+4940Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 332.71.08.00.0010%0.28–69%1.8
Last 553.41.620.80.0013%0.321.0078%4.7
Last 10104.52.733.40.6016%0.381.8382%10.2
2026 season21.50.50.50.006%0.18–64%0.6

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
2026231106%0–64%1
2025159055643920%72282%173
20241511377975625%91574%210
202313331926519%3245%52
2022165635416112%5347%83
2021133824282510%3738%82

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

7 injury entries across 5 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2026Not injury related - personal matter
2025Ankle×4Shoulder
2024Hip×2
2023Concussion×3Shin
2022Hamstring

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions8289%1.5+0.1
Receiving yards8287%20.8-0.1
Rush + rec yards8284%20.2+0.5
Anytime TD8221% vs 22%0.3-0.0
First TD scorer825% vs 7%0.1+0.0
Longest reception7584%8.1+0.6
Longest rush10%7.5–

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3TB80%2110000
2026 wk 1GB48%1000000
2025 wk 20SEA78%52230000
2025 wk 19PHI97%314500291
2025 wk 18SEA88%64350000
2025 wk 17CHI90%42420001
2025 wk 16IND82%65710001
2025 wk 15TEN81%53370002
2025 wk 13CLE81%64390001
2025 wk 12CAR90%75410001