NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

DeeJay Dallas

RB
85% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
38.5
Implied team total
24.5
Depth
#2
Recent snaps
11%

28 yrs · 5′10″, 225 lb · Miami · 2020 rd 4 pk 144

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards8.60.0 – 24.8–Solid
Rush attempts1.70.0 – 5.9–Solid
Longest rush7.21.4 – 16.1–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards2.50.0 – 11.5–Solid
Receptions0.70.0 – 1.2–Solid
Longest reception9.81.6 – 21.1–Solid
Rush + rec yards11.20.0 – 35.4–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD5.6%no range+1692Solid
First TD scorer2.6%no range+3688Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 331.03.30.000.70.74.3–13%1.4
Last 551.06.20.000.60.42.6–11%1.3
Last 10100.75.30.000.50.42.31.0011%1.2
2026 season31.03.30.000.70.74.3–13%1.4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
2026331002213–13%4
20255321010017%2
2024169490331125%21
20231710360962629%12
2022153518601917126419%46
2021173313822321133817%60
2020934108220171111524%57

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

5 injury entries across 4 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2024Illness
2023IllnessShoulder
2022Ankle×4
2020Ankle×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Anytime TD8010% vs 6%0.1-0.0
Rushing yards8094%9.3-0.8
Receptions8091%0.9+0.0
Receiving yards8088%7.2-0.1
Rush attempts8096%1.9-0.1
Rush + rec yards8090%14.2-0.7
First TD scorer553% vs 2%0.0-0.0
Longest rush4185%4.6+1.0
Longest reception3073%5.9+1.5

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3TB15%0001200
2026 wk 2CHI15%11122800
2026 wk 1GB9%1110000
2025 wk 18TEN0%0000000
2025 wk 17IND14%10022100
2025 wk 16DEN0%0000000
2025 wk 6DAL6%0001000
2025 wk 5MIA17%0000000
2024 wk 18SF15%11512200
2024 wk 17LA14%1150000