Rashod Bateman
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 42.5
- Implied team total
- 27.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 76%
26 yrs · 6′1″, 193 lb · Minnesota · 2021 rd 1 pk 27
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 5.6 | 0.0 – 15.2 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 31.0 | 0.0 – 69.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 0.0 – 4.4 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 21.4 | 5.4 – 35.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 31.1 | 0.0 – 72.4 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 17.8% | no range | +462 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 4.3% | no range | +2240 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 41.7 | 0.33 | 17% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 86% | 9.2 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 26.4 | 0.20 | 13% | 0.31 | 1.00 | 76% | 5.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 22.9 | 0.20 | 12% | 0.30 | 1.43 | 75% | 5.4 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 41.7 | 0.33 | 17% | 0.40 | 1.00 | 86% | 9.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 125 | 1 | 17% | 1 | 2 | 86% | 28 |
| 2025 | 13 | 38 | 19 | 224 | 2 | 12% | 4 | 9 | 69% | 55 |
| 2024 | 16 | 72 | 45 | 756 | 9 | 17% | 7 | 9 | 71% | 175 |
| 2023 | 15 | 56 | 32 | 367 | 1 | 14% | 5 | 3 | 58% | 77 |
| 2022 | 6 | 28 | 15 | 285 | 2 | 19% | 3 | 1 | 51% | 54 |
| 2021 | 12 | 68 | 46 | 515 | 1 | 16% | 4 | 6 | 68% | 103 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 5 seasons · 6 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often foot
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 66 | 21% vs 24% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| Receptions | 66 | 88% | 1.3 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 66 | 88% | 22.6 | +0.5 |
| Rush + rec yards | 66 | 88% | 22.7 | +0.8 |
| First TD scorer | 66 | 4% vs 5% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 61 | 85% | 10.6 | +0.6 |
| Longest rush | 1 | 0% | 13.8 | – |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  DAL | 88% | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  NO | 93% | 9 | 7 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  IND | 78% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  GB | 53% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NE | 69% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  PIT | 86% | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  CIN | 73% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  MIN | 61% | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  MIA | 71% | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  CHI | 79% | 4 | 2 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |