NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB
93% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
21.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
66%

28 yrs · 6′0″, 227 lb · Oklahoma; Cerritos College · 2021 rd 4 pk 120

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Rushing yards48.912.2 – 90.1–Solid
Rush attempts10.71.0 – 17.9–Solid
Longest rush14.25.6 – 28.7–Solid
Receiving
Receiving yards19.90.0 – 51.8–Solid
Receptions2.81.0 – 5.5–Solid
Longest reception11.82.7 – 26.0–Solid
Rush + rec yards68.823.0 – 115.7–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD33.7%no range+197Solid
First TD scorer5.5%no range+1717Solid

Form

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
Last 3310.338.70.003.73.021.01.0058%8.3
Last 5512.642.00.003.62.820.62.0066%9.9
Last 101011.256.20.403.63.029.31.7163%15.8
2026 season310.338.70.003.73.021.01.0058%8.3

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPCarRush ydRush TDTgtRecRec ydRZ tchSnap%PPR
2026331116011963158%25
202514130603737323453359%179
202415207801741331685462%176
202312156619451382382362%146
2022172101,040588694214167%249
202112133606518141232735%115

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

9 injury entries across 5 seasons · 7 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle

2025Toe×4
2024Foot×2
2023Ankle×3IllnessThigh
2022Ankle×3
2021ConcussionIllnessKnee

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Rushing yards7580%27.1+0.7
Receptions7579%1.6+0.1
Receiving yards7577%16.9+1.6
Rush attempts7585%5.0+0.2
Rush + rec yards7576%32.4+0.7
Anytime TD7536% vs 32%0.4+0.0
First TD scorer7510% vs 5%0.1-0.0
Longest rush7580%8.1+0.6
Longest reception6577%8.4+1.2

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3JAX52%331672200
2026 wk 2PIT36%21364300
2026 wk 1SEA85%6544185100
2025 wk 22SEA63%554072301
2025 wk 21DEN94%200257100
2025 wk 20HOU62%4411167000
2025 wk 19LAC62%4375105300
2025 wk 18MIA47%2222713103
2025 wk 17NYJ48%555584702
2025 wk 16BAL84%322785101