Tyler Badie
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.3
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 21%
27 yrs · 5′8″, 197 lb · Missouri · 2022 rd 6 pk 196
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 7.4 | 0.0 – 17.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 1.3 | 0.0 – 4.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 8.5 | 0.2 – 15.4 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 9.3 | 0.0 – 25.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 0.0 – 3.5 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 10.9 | 1.5 – 22.5 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 16.7 | 0.0 – 47.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 9.7% | no range | +931 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.2% | no range | +8289 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 13.3 | 1.00 | 24% | 2.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.00 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 21% | 2.8 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.00 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 1.20 | 19% | 2.4 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 20.0 | 1.00 | 22% | 3.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 2 | 22% | 7 |
| 2025 | 16 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 31 | 19 | 141 | 6 | 18% | 35 |
| 2024 | 3 | 11 | 86 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 1 | 11% | 9 |
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | – | 14% | 9 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often back
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 23 | 10% vs 4% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Rushing yards | 23 | 87% | 9.6 | +0.5 |
| Receptions | 23 | 100% | 0.8 | +0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 23 | 91% | 8.1 | +0.8 |
| Rush attempts | 23 | 96% | 1.7 | -0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 23 | 91% | 12.1 | -0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 23 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 16 | 69% | 6.1 | +0.8 |
| Longest rush | 10 | 70% | 8.2 | +3.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  LA | 18% | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  JAX | 26% | 3 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  NE | 28% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  BUF | 19% | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  LAC | 15% | 2 | 2 | 28 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  KC | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | JAX | 23% | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  GB | 10% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  LV | 16% | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  WAS | 26% | 5 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |