NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Greg Dulcich

TE
96% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
38.5
Implied team total
14.0
Depth
#1
Recent snaps
59%

26 yrs · 6′4″, 245 lb · UCLA · 2022 rd 3 pk 80

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Receiving
Receiving yards23.40.0 – 61.6–Solid
Receptions2.80.0 – 5.3–Solid
Longest reception15.14.3 – 27.9–Solid
Rush + rec yards26.45.0 – 64.7–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD17.6%no range+467Solid
First TD scorer6.1%no range+1536Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 334.03.030.00.0013%0.251.0069%6.0
Last 554.43.435.80.2017%0.311.6759%8.0
Last 10103.62.935.40.1015%0.281.5051%6.8
2026 season34.03.030.00.0013%0.251.0069%6.0

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
2026312990013%1269%18
202593326335115%3744%63
202441252809%1143%8
20232432508%0–27%6
2022105533411218%4275%86

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 6 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring

2023Hamstring×6
2022Hamstring

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions2584%1.3+0.1
Receiving yards2560%20.6-1.4
Rush + rec yards2564%19.4-0.6
Anytime TD2516% vs 12%0.2-0.0
First TD scorer254% vs 4%0.1+0.0
Longest reception2387%8.9-0.6

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3KC70%75550000
2026 wk 2SF61%32170000
2026 wk 1LV77%22180000
2025 wk 18NE52%43310000
2025 wk 17TB36%65581-701
2025 wk 16CIN29%33460000
2025 wk 15PIT38%22460000
2025 wk 14NYJ54%33410000
2025 wk 13NO37%22240000
2025 wk 11WAS54%42180000