MIA@
LV13–27
Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders · 2026 week 1 · Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
Spread
LV -3
Total
40.5
MIA implied
18.8
LV implied
21.8
Indoorsdomed stadium — wind and temperature are not factors, and the model treats them as zero
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | MIA0–3 | LV3–0 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | -0.14025 | -0.01817 |
| Success rateoff | 34.9%31 | 40.0%26 |
| Yards / playoff | 5.0520 | 5.1917 |
| Explosive rateoff | 8.3%18 | 7.1%24 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 33.3%27 | 61.5%15 |
| Third downoff | 40.0%15 | 44.9%10 |
| EPA / playdef | 0.19932 | -0.1872 |
| Success alloweddef | 51.5%31 | 41.2%9 |
| Yards alloweddef | 6.6232 | 5.1612 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | 0.55032 | -0.1155 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | -0.16810 | -0.2684 |
| Pass ratestyle | 62.3%13 | 55.6%25 |
| PROEstyle | -8.328 | -2.319 |
| Sec / playstyle | 30.513 | 30.715 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 57.024 | 60.713 |
Projections
166 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
8+3 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
8- De'Von Achane16.7+1.3%over
- Ashton Jeanty16.2+9.3%over
- Jaylen Wright6.0
- Malik Willis4.4+29.0%under
- Ollie Gordon II3.0
+3 more on the slate table
Longest rush
18- De'Von Achane18.6+6.9%over
- Ashton Jeanty17.5+19.1%over
- Malik Willis12.8+4.4%under
- Jaylen Wright11.0
- Ollie Gordon II8.5
+13 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
19- Tre Tucker43.8
- Malik Washington30.8+4.0%over
- Michael Mayer28.8+26.2%under
- Ashton Jeanty27.6+29.0%over
- Greg Dulcich27.3
+14 more on the slate table
Receptions
19- Tre Tucker3.5+12.7%under
- Ashton Jeanty3.5+12.5%over
- De'Von Achane3.5+9.5%under
- Michael Mayer3.4+36.6%under
- Greg Dulcich3.2+11.1%over
+14 more on the slate table
Longest reception
19+14 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
19- De'Von Achane94.5+6.3%under
- Ashton Jeanty89.9+4.4%over
- Tre Tucker51.0
- Malik Washington43.8
- Jaylen Wright30.6
+14 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
21+16 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
21- Ashton Jeantyoverstated14.4%
- De'Von Achane12.8%
- Malik Willis8.5%+27.0%yes
- Tre Tucker6.3%
- Jaylen Wright6.3%+94.6%yes
+16 more on the slate table
Not available this week
34 players with no projection- QBAidan O'ConnellOUT
- QBBrady CookOUT
- TEBrock BowersOUT
- WRCaleb DouglasOUT
- TECarter RunyonIR
- RBDe'Von AchaneIR
- WRJack BechIR
- WRJalen TolbertOUT
- RBJaylen WrightOUT
- DTJJ PeguesOUT
- LBRonnie HarrisonIR
- CBStorm DuckPUP
- DBTristin McCollumOUT
- TEAlbert OkwuegbunamFA
- GAlex CappaFA
- DTBenito JonesFA
- LBCameron GoodeFA
- WRCedrick Wilson Jr.FA
- DEClelin FerrellFA
- DBCornell ArmstrongFA
- WRDee EskridgeFA
- OLBElandon RobertsFA
- DEJahfari HarveyFA
- LBJamin DavisFA
- DBKendall SheffieldFA
- CBKyu Blu KellyFA
- SAFLonnie JohnsonFA
- LBQuinton BellFA
- RBRaheem MostertFA
- WRRonnie BellFA
- WRShedrick JacksonFA
- WRTahj WashingtonFA
- WRTyler LockettFA
- WRTyreek HillFA