Alec Pierce
WR
26 yrs · 6′3″, 211 lb · Cincinnati · 2022 rd 2 pk 53
Projections
Alec Pierce is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 68.0 | 0.67 | 15% | 0.46 | 1.50 | 51% | 13.8 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 58.0 | 0.80 | 15% | 0.44 | 1.67 | 68% | 13.2 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 57.4 | 0.60 | 15% | 0.46 | 1.33 | 81% | 12.1 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 36.0 | 0.00 | 12% | 0.38 | 1.00 | 43% | 6.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 0 | 12% | 1 | 1 | 43% | 12 |
| 2025 | 15 | 84 | 47 | 1,003 | 6 | 18% | 8 | 9 | 86% | 183 |
| 2024 | 16 | 69 | 37 | 824 | 7 | 15% | 7 | 6 | 80% | 161 |
| 2023 | 17 | 65 | 32 | 514 | 2 | 12% | 6 | 6 | 95% | 95 |
| 2022 | 16 | 78 | 41 | 593 | 2 | 15% | 6 | 6 | 66% | 112 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
8 injury entries across 5 seasons · 5 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 64 | 83% | 1.5 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 64 | 70% | 29.0 | +0.8 |
| Rush + rec yards | 64 | 72% | 29.2 | +0.6 |
| Anytime TD | 64 | 22% vs 23% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 64 | 5% vs 8% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 55 | 75% | 13.0 | +1.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  KC | 26% | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  BAL | 59% | 6 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  HOU | 68% | 7 | 4 | 132 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  JAX | 91% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  SF | 97% | 4 | 4 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  SEA | 100% | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | JAX | 83% | 8 | 5 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 | HOU | 96% | 5 | 4 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 12 | KC | 96% | 2 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 10 |  ATL | 95% | 7 | 4 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |