NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 2, 9:33 AM EDT
Slate

Jeremy Ruckert

TE
83% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
43.5
Implied team total
20.0
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
49%

26 yrs · 6′5″, 250 lb · Ohio State · 2022 rd 3 pk 101

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Receiving
Receiving yards17.50.0 – 37.6–Solid
Receptions2.00.0 – 3.7–Solid
Longest reception12.12.1 – 24.8–Solid
Rush + rec yards16.30.0 – 38.4–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD9.2%no range+993Solid
First TD scorer2.8%no range+3441Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 332.72.716.00.338%0.121.0040%6.3
Last 552.82.212.80.208%0.141.0049%4.7
Last 10102.72.213.10.109%0.151.0051%4.1
2026 season32.72.716.00.338%0.121.0040%6.3

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20263884818%0240%19
202514292317917%2348%47
202414281810506%2338%29
202310221615107%1139%31
2022221803%0–30%2

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

1 injury entry across 1 season · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion

2023Concussion×2

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions4093%0.8+0.0
Receiving yards40100%7.8+0.9
Rush + rec yards4095%8.3+0.5
Anytime TD409% vs 3%0.1-0.1
First TD scorer402% vs 0%0.0-0.0
Longest reception3388%4.8+0.0

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3DET42%55390001
2026 wk 2GB34%2250000
2026 wk 1TEN43%1140000
2025 wk 17NE61%3120000
2025 wk 16NO67%32140000
2025 wk 15JAX74%22130000
2025 wk 14MIA53%32190000
2025 wk 13ATL42%22120000
2025 wk 11NE44%54230000
2025 wk 10CLE53%1100000