NYJ@
DET24–31
New York Jets at Detroit Lions · 2026 week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET
Ford Field
Spread
DET -7
Total
49.5
NYJ implied
21.3
DET implied
28.3
Indoorsdomed stadium — wind and temperature are not factors, and the model treats them as zero
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | 0.02812 | 0.1346 |
| Success rateoff | 43.8%15 | 50.9%4 |
| Yards / playoff | 5.1718 | 5.6210 |
| Explosive rateoff | 9.1%13 | 10.3%8 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 50.0%21 | 86.7%2 |
| Third downoff | 37.5%20 | 41.6%12 |
| EPA / playdef | -0.06410 | 0.16630 |
| Success alloweddef | 45.4%22 | 48.2%28 |
| Yards alloweddef | 4.634 | 5.8824 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | 0.00317 | 0.25528 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | -0.16411 | -0.02925 |
| Pass ratestyle | 60.8%16 | 62.2%14 |
| PROEstyle | -1.917 | +1.19 |
| Sec / playstyle | 32.125 | 29.99 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 63.78 | 64.76 |
Projections
169 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Completions
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
7
Jahmyr Gibbs86.7+17.9%under
Breece Hall69.4
Braelon Allen28.5+10.1%over
Sione Vaki11.3+12.9%under
Geno Smith10.7+4.2%under
+2 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
7+2 more on the slate table
Longest rush
17+12 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
20
Amon-Ra St. Brown76.4+2.2%under
Garrett Wilson59.6+36.7%under
Jameson Williams50.8
Adonai MitchellQ49.6+6.6%under
Sam LaPorta44.5+12.4%under
+15 more on the slate table
Receptions
20
Amon-Ra St. Brown5.7+22.0%under
Garrett Wilson5.1+46.9%under
Sam LaPorta4.6+12.8%under
Jahmyr Gibbs4.6+0.2%under
Jameson Williams3.7
+15 more on the slate table
Longest reception
20
Adonai MitchellQ25.9
Jameson Williams25.6
Garrett Wilson24.7+11.3%under
Amon-Ra St. Brown24.6+7.0%over
Isaac TeSlaa21.5
+15 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
20
Jahmyr Gibbs121.4+14.4%under
Breece Hall86.8+13.0%under
Amon-Ra St. Brown76.0
Garrett Wilson60.2
Jameson Williams54.6
+15 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
22+17 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
22+17 more on the slate table
Not available this week
34 players with no projection- WRAdonai MitchellDOUBTFUL
- WRArian SmithIR
- FSAvonte MaddoxIR
- OTBen BartchOUT
- RBBreece HallDOUBTFUL
- LBDamone ClarkIR
- DTDavid OnyemataIR
- LBDevin WhiteOUT
- RBIsiah PachecoIR
- RBKene NwangwuOUT
- LBMarcelino McCrary-BallIR
- TEMason TaylorDOUBTFUL
- DTMekhi WingoOUT
- FSMinkah FitzpatrickOUT
- CBNahshon WrightOUT
- WRTim PatrickIR
- CBTre BrownIR
- DETyler BaronPUP
- WRAllen LazardFA
- TEAnthony FirkserFA
- CBArthur MauletFA
- OTChris HubbardFA
- OTDan SkipperFA
- TEGiovanni RicciFA
- CGraham GlasgowFA
- DTJay TufeleFA
- WRJosh ReynoldsFA
- DTKhalen SaundersFA
- LBMykal WalkerFA
- DEPat O'ConnorFA
- WRQuentin SkinnerFA
- OTTaylor DeckerFA
- TETyler ConklinFA
- ILBZach CunninghamFA