Tyquan Thornton
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 26.0
- Depth
- #3
- Recent snaps
- 51%
26 yrs · 6′2″, 185 lb · Baylor · 2022 rd 2 pk 50
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.3 | 0.0 – 15.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 21.1 | 0.0 – 56.5 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 0.0 – 3.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 20.6 | 5.3 – 39.9 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 20.7 | 0.0 – 55.2 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 8.5% | no range | +1081 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.4% | no range | +7120 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 36.0 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.28 | – | 58% | 5.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 34.8 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.31 | – | 51% | 5.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 27.4 | 0.00 | 6% | 0.24 | – | 38% | 3.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 36.0 | 0.00 | 7% | 0.28 | – | 58% | 5.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 108 | 0 | 7% | 1 | – | 58% | 17 |
| 2025 | 12 | 37 | 19 | 438 | 3 | 9% | 4 | 4 | 43% | 81 |
| 2024 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 47 | 0 | 8% | 1 | 1 | 32% | 9 |
| 2023 | 9 | 23 | 13 | 91 | 0 | 8% | 2 | 0 | 42% | 27 |
| 2022 | 12 | 45 | 22 | 247 | 2 | 12% | 4 | 5 | 68% | 66 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
6 injury entries across 3 seasons · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often knee
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 37 | 95% | 1.2 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 37 | 95% | 19.7 | -0.2 |
| Rush + rec yards | 37 | 95% | 19.8 | +0.8 |
| Anytime TD | 37 | 14% vs 14% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 37 | 3% vs 3% | 0.1 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 31 | 74% | 10.9 | -1.0 |
| Longest rush | 4 | 75% | 12.5 | +11.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIA | 46% | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  IND | 59% | 4 | 4 | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DEN | 68% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LAC | 51% | 3 | 2 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  HOU | 30% | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DAL | 24% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 | IND | 26% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | DEN | 23% | 2 | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  BUF | 23% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  LV | 33% | 2 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |