DEN@
KC10–31
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs · 2026 week 1 · Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET · division game
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Spread
KC -2.5
Total
42.5
DEN implied
20.0
KC implied
22.5
Partially cloudy
forecastTemp
69°F
Wind
8 mph
gusting 9
Precip
0%
Humidity
69%
2026 form
league rank of 32| Metric | DEN2–1 | KC3–0 |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / playoff | -0.08823 | 0.1713 |
| Success rateoff | 41.0%22 | 50.6%5 |
| Yards / playoff | 5.0122 | 6.545 |
| Explosive rateoff | 8.3%19 | 10.3%6 |
| Red-zone TDoff | 66.7%6 | 60.0%18 |
| Third downoff | 35.6%23 | 44.9%9 |
| EPA / playdef | 0.01820 | -0.1414 |
| Success alloweddef | 41.3%10 | 37.5%4 |
| Yards alloweddef | 5.5922 | 4.603 |
| Pass EPA alloweddef | -0.0828 | -0.1581 |
| Rush EPA alloweddef | 0.12732 | -0.09616 |
| Pass ratestyle | 62.0%15 | 55.7%24 |
| PROEstyle | -1.314 | +3.65 |
| Sec / playstyle | 29.88 | 31.923 |
| Plays / gamestyle | 54.327 | 62.710 |
Projections
195 across 16 marketsPassing
Passing yards
2Passing TDs
2Completions
2Pass attempts
2Interceptions
2Pass + rush yards
2Longest completion
2Rushing
Rushing yards
7- Kenneth Walker III70.9+5.1%over
- J.K. Dobbins46.8+1.1%under
- RJ Harvey27.8+31.0%over
- Bo Nix25.1+15.1%over
- Patrick Mahomes19.7+18.1%over
+2 more on the slate table
Rush attempts
7+2 more on the slate table
Longest rush
19- Kenneth Walker III16.5+4.9%over
- J.K. Dobbins14.7+5.5%over
- Bo Nix12.2+15.0%over
- Patrick Mahomes10.7+13.9%over
- RJ Harvey10.3
+14 more on the slate table
Receiving
Receiving yards
24- Rashee Rice55.4
- Jaylen Waddle49.1+15.8%under
- Travis Kelce40.8
- Courtland Sutton37.4+2.9%under
- Troy Franklin31.6
+19 more on the slate table
Receptions
24- Rashee Rice5.7
- Travis Kelce4.2
- Jaylen Waddle3.4+38.1%under
- Kenneth Walker III3.1
- Courtland Sutton3.1+17.3%under
+19 more on the slate table
Longest reception
24- Rashee Rice23.1+10.1%over
- Jaylen Waddle22.2
- Courtland Sutton21.0+6.6%over
- Tyquan Thornton21.0
- Xavier Worthy20.7
+19 more on the slate table
Rush + rec yards
24- Kenneth Walker III95.9+0.8%over
- Rashee Rice65.9
- J.K. Dobbins56.5
- RJ Harvey45.0+8.9%over
- Jaylen Waddle44.8
+19 more on the slate table
Touchdowns
Anytime TD
26+21 more on the slate table
First TD scorer
26- Kenneth Walker III13.8%
- Rashee Rice13.2%+32.2%yes
- J.K. Dobbins7.8%
- Bo Nix5.7%+20.4%yes
- Patrick Mahomes5.7%+66.3%yes
+21 more on the slate table
Not available this week
19 players with no projection- DBChamarri ConnerOUT
- LBCooper McDonaldIR
- TEJared WileyOUT
- RBJonah ColemanIR
- WRLil'Jordan HumphreyOUT
- DTOmarr Norman-LottPUP
- RBRJ HarveyOUT
- DESai'vion JonesOUT
- RBTyler BadieOUT
- QBChris OladokunFA
- RBClyde Edwards-HelaireFA
- NTDerrick NnadiFA
- WRJason BrownleeFA
- WRJuJu Smith-SchusterFA
- RBKareem HuntFA
- TEMarcedes LewisFA
- DTMarlon TuipulotuFA
- SAFMike EdwardsFA
- DTMike PennelFA