Kenneth Walker III
RB
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 26.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 70%
25 yrs · 5′9″, 211 lb · Michigan State; Wake Forest · 2022 rd 2 pk 41
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Rushing yards | 88.6 | 29.5 – 117.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush attempts | 18.7 | 1.0 – 27.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest rush | 23.9 | 7.9 – 35.5 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 25.9 | 4.0 – 55.9 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 1.0 – 6.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 13.8 | 3.6 – 28.7 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 114.5 | 47.9 – 156.4 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 53.5% | no range | -115 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 15.7% | no range | +539 | Likely too high |
Form
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 21.7 | 120.0 | 0.67 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 27.3 | 6.67 | 74% | 26.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 22.2 | 111.4 | 0.60 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 31.4 | 5.80 | 70% | 23.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 18.1 | 93.8 | 0.70 | 3.9 | 3.0 | 29.4 | 4.56 | 59% | 20.7 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 21.7 | 120.0 | 0.67 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 27.3 | 6.67 | 74% | 26.4 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Car | Rush yd | Rush TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | RZ tch | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 65 | 360 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 82 | 20 | 74% | 79 |
| 2025 | 17 | 221 | 1,027 | 5 | 36 | 31 | 282 | 37 | 47% | 192 |
| 2024 | 11 | 153 | 573 | 7 | 53 | 46 | 299 | 33 | 63% | 181 |
| 2023 | 15 | 219 | 905 | 8 | 37 | 29 | 259 | 41 | 54% | 199 |
| 2022 | 15 | 228 | 1,050 | 9 | 35 | 27 | 165 | 52 | 59% | 203 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
10 injury entries across 4 seasons · 6 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 62 | 73% | 29.8 | +2.2 |
| Receptions | 62 | 90% | 1.4 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 62 | 76% | 15.1 | +1.2 |
| Rush attempts | 62 | 77% | 4.7 | +0.9 |
| Rush + rec yards | 62 | 73% | 33.0 | +3.5 |
| Anytime TD | 62 | 44% vs 40% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 62 | 10% vs 8% | 0.2 | -0.0 |
| Longest rush | 62 | 77% | 10.0 | +1.3 |
| Longest reception | 57 | 68% | 8.9 | +1.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIA | 73% | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 70 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  IND | 82% | 10 | 6 | 61 | 24 | 117 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DEN | 68% | 6 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 173 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 22 |  NE | 65% | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27 | 135 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  LA | 63% | 4 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 62 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  SF | 62% | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 116 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025 wk 18 | SF | 42% | 4 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 97 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CAR | 47% | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | LA | 44% | 3 | 3 | 64 | 11 | 100 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 | IND | 42% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0 |