Malik Heath
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 22.5
- Recent snaps
- 31%
26 yrs · 6′2″, 213 lb · Mississippi; Mississippi State
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 5.7 | 0.0 – 15.4 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 14.3 | 0.0 – 35.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 0.0 – 2.6 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 15.5 | 3.5 – 31.1 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 13.9 | 0.0 – 40.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 6.4% | no range | +1458 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 3.4% | no range | +2853 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 13.3 | 0.00 | 5% | 0.09 | – | 31% | 2.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 9.8 | 0.00 | 4% | 0.07 | – | 31% | 2.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 14.2 | 0.10 | 6% | 0.12 | 1.00 | 34% | 3.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 86 | 0 | 3% | 0 | – | 31% | 15 |
| 2024 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 97 | 2 | 10% | 1 | 2 | 39% | 32 |
| 2023 | 12 | 24 | 15 | 125 | 1 | 6% | 2 | 5 | 33% | 34 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often not injury related - personal matter
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 25 | 88% | 0.9 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 25 | 92% | 12.1 | +0.0 |
| Rush + rec yards | 25 | 88% | 12.0 | +0.2 |
| Anytime TD | 25 | 9% vs 12% | 0.2 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 25 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 17 | 71% | 8.3 | +1.0 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 wk 13 |  DET | 17% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  CAR | 42% | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  PIT | 33% | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 7 |  ARI | 41% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 4 |  DAL | 23% | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 3 |  CLE | 26% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 2 |  WAS | 32% | 1 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 19 |  PHI | 39% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 |  CHI | 60% | 5 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 17 |  MIN | 24% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |