Darnell Washington
TE
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 20.5
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 55%
25 yrs · 6′7″, 265 lb · Georgia · 2023 rd 3 pk 93
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Line | Price | P(over) | Value | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | |||||||
| Receiving yards | 19.6 | 0.0 – 42.0 | 16.5 | -113 / -111DK | 45% | +4.1%under | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 0.0 – 4.4 | 1.5 | -157 / +123DK | 53% | +4.5%under | Solid |
| Longest reception | 13.3 | 3.0 – 28.9 | 11.5 | -116 / -111DK | 48% | no bet | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 20.7 | 0.0 – 57.0 | – | – | – | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | |||||||
| Anytime TD | 10.7% | no range | yes | +550 / –FD | – | no bet | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 1.7% | no range | yes | +2200 / –DK | – | no bet | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 30.7 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.14 | – | 64% | 5.1 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 28.6 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.14 | 1.00 | 55% | 4.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 31.4 | 0.00 | 10% | 0.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 5.2 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 30.7 | 0.00 | 8% | 0.14 | – | 64% | 5.1 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 8% | 0 | – | 64% | 15 |
| 2025 | 13 | 43 | 31 | 364 | 1 | 11% | 3 | 9 | 61% | 73 |
| 2024 | 13 | 25 | 19 | 200 | 1 | 7% | 2 | 2 | 54% | 45 |
| 2023 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 61 | 0 | 4% | 1 | 2 | 50% | 13 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 36 | 13% vs 6% | 0.2 | -0.1 |
| Receptions | 36 | 97% | 0.8 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 36 | 89% | 11.3 | +1.6 |
| Rush + rec yards | 36 | 89% | 11.5 | +1.4 |
| First TD scorer | 36 | 3% vs 3% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 32 | 91% | 6.1 | +0.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  CIN | 76% | 4 | 3 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  NE | 53% | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  ATL | 64% | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  CLE | 14% | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  DET | 68% | 4 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  MIA | 73% | 4 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  BAL | 29% | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  BUF | 79% | 4 | 2 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  CHI | 68% | 2 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | CIN | 71% | 5 | 4 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |