NFL Analytics Dashboard2026 · Week 4
Oct 1, 7:05 PM EDT
Slate

Kayshon Boutte

WR
95% to play
Game
2026 wk 4
Total
48.5
Implied team total
25.8
Depth
#3
Recent snaps
64%

24 yrs · 5′11″, 203 lb · LSU · 2023 rd 6 pk 187

Projections

MarketProjectionLikely rangeFair oddsEvidence
Rushing
Longest rush6.00.0 – 14.3–Little to go on
Receiving
Receiving yards23.30.0 – 63.3–Solid
Receptions1.90.0 – 3.7–Solid
Longest reception20.05.5 – 39.5–Solid
Rush + rec yards20.90.0 – 60.5–Solid
Touchdowns
Anytime TD11.4%no range+780Solid
First TD scorer1.4%no range+7257Solid

Form

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
Last 333.02.026.30.008%0.181.0062%4.6
Last 554.01.621.20.0013%0.331.0064%3.7
Last 10103.71.931.70.1013%0.341.0065%5.7
2026 season33.02.026.30.008%0.181.0062%4.6

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Career by season · totals

WindowGPTgtRecRec ydRec TDTgt shareWOPRRZ tgtSnap%PPR
20263967908%1262%14
2025144633551612%5468%124
2024156843589316%7578%122
20233721906%1241%4

Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.

Injury history

5 injury entries across 2 seasons · 5 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often hamstring

2025Hamstring×3Concussion
2023Shoulder×2HamstringIllness

Model track record

out-of-sample, 2019 onwards
MarketGradedIn bandAvg missvs form
Receptions3689%1.3+0.1
Receiving yards3672%24.6+1.9
Rush + rec yards3681%24.5+1.9
Anytime TD3617% vs 25%0.3+0.0
First TD scorer363% vs 3%0.1-0.0
Longest reception3482%10.7+1.1

Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.

Last 10 games

GameOppSnap%TgtRecRecYdCarRushYdPassYdTD
2026 wk 3IND69%22210000
2026 wk 2CIN72%53370000
2026 wk 1BUF46%21210000
2025 wk 22SEA73%51210000
2025 wk 21DEN62%6160000
2025 wk 20HOU83%53750001
2025 wk 19LAC53%44660000
2025 wk 18MIA58%42240000
2025 wk 16BAL58%31160000
2025 wk 15BUF75%11300000