DeMario Douglas
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 48.5
- Implied team total
- 21.0
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 46%
25 yrs · 5′8″, 185 lb · Liberty · 2023 rd 6 pk 210
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.4 | 0.0 – 14.6 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 24.7 | 0.0 – 60.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.4 | 0.0 – 4.8 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.9 | 4.8 – 33.3 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 28.3 | 0.0 – 70.5 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 13.7% | no range | +631 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.4% | no range | +4105 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 22.3 | 0.00 | 16% | 0.36 | 1.00 | 56% | 4.6 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 22.4 | 0.00 | 14% | 0.31 | 1.00 | 46% | 4.6 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 19.6 | 0.10 | 11% | 0.24 | 1.00 | 34% | 4.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 22.3 | 0.00 | 16% | 0.36 | 1.00 | 56% | 4.6 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 67 | 0 | 16% | 1 | 1 | 56% | 14 |
| 2025 | 16 | 46 | 31 | 447 | 3 | 10% | 3 | 7 | 27% | 96 |
| 2024 | 16 | 87 | 66 | 621 | 3 | 19% | 6 | 6 | 63% | 148 |
| 2023 | 14 | 79 | 49 | 561 | 0 | 18% | 6 | 4 | 57% | 107 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
4 injury entries across 3 seasons · 3 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 50 | 86% | 1.4 | +0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 50 | 86% | 20.9 | +1.9 |
| Rush + rec yards | 50 | 76% | 20.4 | +2.7 |
| Anytime TD | 50 | 16% vs 14% | 0.3 | -0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 50 | 5% vs 6% | 0.1 | +0.0 |
| Longest reception | 48 | 83% | 10.1 | +0.9 |
| Longest rush | 15 | 87% | 5.0 | +2.6 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  JAX | 59% | 5 | 1 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  PIT | 47% | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  SEA | 62% | 7 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 22 | SEA | 41% | 7 | 5 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 21 |  DEN | 19% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 20 |  HOU | 26% | 2 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  LAC | 33% | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  MIA | 25% | 3 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NYJ | 14% | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  BAL | 18% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |