Jordan Addison
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 38.5
- Implied team total
- 24.5
- Depth
- #2
- Recent snaps
- 88%
24 yrs · 5′11″, 179 lb · USC; Pittsburgh · 2023 rd 1 pk 23
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.6 | 0.2 – 18.7 | – | Differs from form |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 33.7 | 0.0 – 78.7 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 0.0 – 4.2 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 21.9 | 6.2 – 41.0 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 39.7 | 5.6 – 91.3 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 19.3% | no range | +419 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.9% | no range | +1021 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 37.0 | 0.33 | 24% | 0.59 | 1.00 | 90% | 8.0 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 23.8 | 0.20 | 18% | 0.47 | 1.00 | 88% | 7.7 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 30.9 | 0.10 | 18% | 0.50 | 1.00 | 83% | 7.0 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 37.0 | 0.33 | 24% | 0.59 | 1.00 | 90% | 8.0 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 111 | 1 | 24% | 2 | 1 | 90% | 24 |
| 2025 | 14 | 79 | 42 | 610 | 3 | 18% | 7 | 13 | 85% | 135 |
| 2024 | 15 | 99 | 63 | 875 | 9 | 21% | 8 | 19 | 82% | 213 |
| 2023 | 17 | 108 | 70 | 911 | 10 | 18% | 8 | 17 | 81% | 221 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often ankle
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 47 | 77% | 1.9 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 47 | 74% | 31.7 | +1.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 47 | 77% | 30.3 | +2.7 |
| Anytime TD | 47 | 28% vs 40% | 0.5 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 47 | 7% vs 13% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 44 | 75% | 13.9 | +2.1 |
| Longest rush | 6 | 67% | 13.4 | -10.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  TB | 98% | 9 | 5 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  CHI | 88% | 5 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  GB | 83% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 | GB | 93% | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  DET | 78% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NYG | 67% | 3 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  DAL | 64% | 2 | 2 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  WAS | 67% | 7 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  SEA | 92% | 10 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 | GB | 98% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |