Rashee Rice
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 47.5
- Implied team total
- 26.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 80%
26 yrs · 6′1″, 203 lb · SMU · 2023 rd 2 pk 55
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 6.3 | 0.0 – 15.5 | – | Little to go on |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 56.8 | 17.0 – 112.2 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 1.0 – 9.0 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 24.2 | 8.9 – 41.6 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 63.4 | 15.5 – 119.8 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 31.1% | no range | +221 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 8.8% | no range | +1040 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 63.3 | 0.33 | 20% | 0.46 | 1.33 | 80% | 12.7 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 55.0 | 0.20 | 25% | 0.49 | 1.25 | 80% | 11.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.5 | 5.9 | 71.9 | 0.40 | 26% | 0.52 | 2.11 | 80% | 16.5 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 63.3 | 0.33 | 20% | 0.46 | 1.33 | 80% | 12.7 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 190 | 1 | 20% | 1 | 4 | 80% | 38 |
| 2025 | 8 | 78 | 53 | 571 | 5 | 29% | 4 | 19 | 75% | 150 |
| 2024 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 288 | 2 | 25% | 2 | 2 | 60% | 65 |
| 2023 | 16 | 102 | 79 | 938 | 7 | 18% | 6 | 22 | 59% | 212 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
2 injury entries across 2 seasons · 2 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often concussion
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 32 | 75% | 2.1 | -0.1 |
| Receiving yards | 32 | 72% | 28.8 | +1.4 |
| Rush + rec yards | 32 | 81% | 27.5 | +3.1 |
| Anytime TD | 32 | 29% vs 44% | 0.5 | +0.1 |
| First TD scorer | 32 | 7% vs 16% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 31 | 81% | 9.9 | +2.1 |
| Longest rush | 6 | 83% | 5.5 | -2.5 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  MIA | 77% | 9 | 7 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  IND | 79% | 6 | 4 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  DEN | 83% | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  LAC | 85% | 11 | 7 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  HOU | 78% | 8 | 4 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  DAL | 89% | 12 | 8 | 92 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025 wk 12 | IND | 62% | 12 | 8 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 11 | DEN | 76% | 9 | 6 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 9 |  BUF | 82% | 7 | 4 | 80 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 8 |  WAS | 86% | 9 | 9 | 93 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 |