Jayden Reed
WR
26 yrs · 5′11″, 187 lb · Michigan State; Western Michigan · 2023 rd 2 pk 50
Projections
Jayden Reed is listed IR and cannot play this week. No projections are published for him — a prop that voids is not a bet, and a number here would read as one.
The splits and history below are unchanged — they are a record of games already played, and stay accurate whatever happens this week.
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 22.3 | 0.33 | 13% | 0.26 | 1.50 | 43% | 7.4 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 28.6 | 0.20 | 14% | 0.27 | 1.67 | 49% | 7.5 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 36.8 | 0.20 | 14% | 0.30 | 1.33 | 52% | 8.4 |
| 2026 season | 2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 0.00 | 10% | 0.19 | 1.00 | 30% | 3.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 10% | 0 | 1 | 30% | 6 |
| 2025 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 207 | 1 | 17% | 2 | 4 | 53% | 49 |
| 2024 | 17 | 75 | 55 | 857 | 6 | 16% | 6 | 12 | 63% | 197 |
| 2023 | 16 | 94 | 64 | 793 | 8 | 18% | 6 | 18 | 56% | 217 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
5 injury entries across 4 seasons · 4 weeks ruled out or doubtful · most often foot
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 42 | 90% | 1.4 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 42 | 67% | 27.2 | +2.3 |
| Rush + rec yards | 42 | 74% | 27.4 | +2.7 |
| Anytime TD | 42 | 24% vs 36% | 0.4 | +0.0 |
| First TD scorer | 42 | 7% vs 19% | 0.2 | +0.1 |
| Longest reception | 40 | 73% | 13.8 | +1.1 |
| Longest rush | 22 | 50% | 9.4 | +0.1 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 2 |  NYJ | 3% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  MIN | 57% | 7 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 19 |  CHI | 68% | 7 | 4 | 43 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  BAL | 51% | 4 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 | CHI | 64% | 3 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  DEN | 65% | 6 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 | CHI | 47% | 4 | 4 | 31 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 1 |  DET | 38% | 5 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 wk 19 |  PHI | 55% | 4 | 4 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 wk 18 | CHI | 69% | 2 | 2 | 48 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |