Isaiah Williams
WR
- Game
- 2026 wk 4
- Total
- 43.5
- Implied team total
- 20.0
- Depth
- #1
- Recent snaps
- 70%
25 yrs · 5′10″, 185 lb · Illinois
Projections
| Market | Projection | Likely range | Fair odds | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | ||||
| Longest rush | 7.3 | 0.0 – 16.3 | – | Solid |
| Receiving | ||||
| Receiving yards | 27.8 | 0.0 – 59.6 | – | Solid |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 0.0 – 5.3 | – | Solid |
| Longest reception | 17.1 | 3.0 – 34.2 | – | Solid |
| Rush + rec yards | 32.9 | 0.0 – 66.0 | – | Solid |
| Touchdowns | ||||
| Anytime TD | 15.4% | no range | +551 | Solid |
| First TD scorer | 2.1% | no range | +4611 | Solid |
Form
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 20.7 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.16 | 1.00 | 77% | 5.2 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 23.2 | 0.00 | 15% | 0.31 | 1.00 | 70% | 6.1 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 21.8 | 0.00 | 12% | 0.24 | 1.00 | 61% | 5.9 |
| 2026 season | 3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 20.7 | 0.00 | 9% | 0.16 | 1.00 | 77% | 5.2 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Career by season · totals
| Window | GP | Tgt | Rec | Rec yd | Rec TD | Tgt share | WOPR | RZ tgt | Snap% | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 0 | 9% | 0 | 1 | 77% | 16 |
| 2025 | 15 | 36 | 26 | 193 | 0 | 9% | 2 | 1 | 36% | 61 |
| 2024 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2% | 0 | – | 5% | 3 |
Per-game averages over completed games, newest first. Windows match the rolling features the models are trained on.
Injury history
1 injury entry across 1 season · 1 week ruled out or doubtful · most often abdomen
Model track record
out-of-sample, 2019 onwards| Market | Graded | In band | Avg miss | vs form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anytime TD | 23 | 6% vs 0% | 0.1 | -0.1 |
| Receptions | 23 | 91% | 1.0 | -0.0 |
| Receiving yards | 23 | 91% | 10.0 | -3.1 |
| Rush + rec yards | 23 | 91% | 10.6 | -1.9 |
| First TD scorer | 15 | 2% vs 0% | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| Longest reception | 9 | 78% | 7.1 | +1.0 |
| Longest rush | 3 | 67% | 7.6 | +13.4 |
Out-of-sample: each prediction came from a model trained only on earlier seasons. In band should sit near 80% where a band exists — that is the calibration claim, checkable here. It is tinted only when it strays further than sampling noise explains, which for one player is roughly ±7 points. vs form is how much closer the model landed than guessing his recent average. This grades the model against RESULTS, not against a betting line.
Last 10 games
| Game | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Rec | RecYd | Car | RushYd | PassYd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 wk 3 |  DET | 89% | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 2 |  GB | 82% | 6 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 wk 1 |  TEN | 60% | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 18 |  BUF | 52% | 7 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 17 |  NE | 69% | 5 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 16 |  NO | 77% | 4 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 15 |  JAX | 60% | 7 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 14 |  MIA | 57% | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 13 |  ATL | 39% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 wk 12 |  BAL | 27% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |